CHINA TONTINE Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CTE Stock  EUR 0.07  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CHINA TONTINE WINES on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. CHINA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through CHINA TONTINE price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

CHINA TONTINE Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CHINA TONTINE WINES on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CHINA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CHINA TONTINE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CHINA TONTINE Stock Forecast Pattern

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CHINA TONTINE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CHINA TONTINE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CHINA TONTINE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.07 and 0.07, respectively. We have considered CHINA TONTINE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.07
0.07
Expected Value
0.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CHINA TONTINE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CHINA TONTINE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria43.7536
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as CHINA TONTINE WINES historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for CHINA TONTINE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHINA TONTINE WINES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.070.070.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.060.060.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CHINA TONTINE

For every potential investor in CHINA, whether a beginner or expert, CHINA TONTINE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CHINA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CHINA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CHINA TONTINE's price trends.

CHINA TONTINE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CHINA TONTINE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CHINA TONTINE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CHINA TONTINE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CHINA TONTINE WINES Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CHINA TONTINE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CHINA TONTINE's current price.

CHINA TONTINE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CHINA TONTINE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CHINA TONTINE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CHINA TONTINE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CHINA TONTINE WINES entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for CHINA Stock Analysis

When running CHINA TONTINE's price analysis, check to measure CHINA TONTINE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CHINA TONTINE is operating at the current time. Most of CHINA TONTINE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CHINA TONTINE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CHINA TONTINE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CHINA TONTINE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.