CooTek Cayman Pink Sheet Forward View

CTKYY Stock  USD 0.03  0.00  0.00%   
CooTek Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of CooTek Cayman's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CooTek Cayman's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CooTek Cayman, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CooTek Cayman hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CooTek Cayman from the perspective of CooTek Cayman response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CooTek Cayman on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.63.

CooTek Cayman after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.

CooTek Cayman Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CooTek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CooTek using various technical indicators. When you analyze CooTek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for CooTek Cayman is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CooTek Cayman value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CooTek Cayman Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CooTek Cayman on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CooTek Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CooTek Cayman's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CooTek Cayman Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest CooTek Cayman  CooTek Cayman Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CooTek Cayman pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CooTek Cayman pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.3819
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0103
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.3206
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6285
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CooTek Cayman. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CooTek Cayman. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CooTek Cayman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CooTek Cayman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CooTek Cayman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0351.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0351.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.010.030.06
Details

CooTek Cayman After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CooTek Cayman at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CooTek Cayman or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of CooTek Cayman, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CooTek Cayman Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CooTek Cayman's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CooTek Cayman's historical news coverage. CooTek Cayman's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 51.39, respectively. We have considered CooTek Cayman's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.03
0.03
After-hype Price
51.39
Upside
CooTek Cayman is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CooTek Cayman is based on 3 months time horizon.

CooTek Cayman Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CooTek Cayman is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CooTek Cayman backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CooTek Cayman, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  20.81 
112.07
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.03
0.03
10.70 
0.00  
Notes

CooTek Cayman Hype Timeline

CooTek Cayman is currently traded for 0.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CooTek is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 10.7%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 20.81%. The volatility of related hype on CooTek Cayman is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.03. CooTek Cayman has accumulated 19.19 M in total debt. CooTek Cayman has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CooTek Cayman until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CooTek Cayman's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CooTek Cayman sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CooTek to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CooTek Cayman's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index.

CooTek Cayman Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CooTek Cayman's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CooTek Cayman's future price movements. Getting to know how CooTek Cayman's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CooTek Cayman may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CooTek Cayman Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CooTek Cayman pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CooTek Cayman could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CooTek Cayman by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CooTek Cayman Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CooTek Cayman pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CooTek Cayman shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CooTek Cayman pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CooTek Cayman entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CooTek Cayman Risk Indicators

The analysis of CooTek Cayman's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CooTek Cayman's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cootek pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for CooTek Cayman

The number of cover stories for CooTek Cayman depends on current market conditions and CooTek Cayman's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CooTek Cayman is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CooTek Cayman's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for CooTek Pink Sheet Analysis

When running CooTek Cayman's price analysis, check to measure CooTek Cayman's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CooTek Cayman is operating at the current time. Most of CooTek Cayman's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CooTek Cayman's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CooTek Cayman's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CooTek Cayman to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.