CleanTech Lithium Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

CTL Stock   10.00  0.25  2.44%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CleanTech Lithium plc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.03. CleanTech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CleanTech Lithium stock prices and determine the direction of CleanTech Lithium plc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CleanTech Lithium's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, CleanTech Lithium's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Stockholder Equity is expected to grow to about 20.8 M, whereas Total Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 410.4 K.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through CleanTech Lithium price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

CleanTech Lithium Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CleanTech Lithium plc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CleanTech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CleanTech Lithium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CleanTech Lithium Stock Forecast Pattern

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CleanTech Lithium Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CleanTech Lithium's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CleanTech Lithium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.94 and 12.10, respectively. We have considered CleanTech Lithium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.00
7.52
Expected Value
12.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CleanTech Lithium stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CleanTech Lithium stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0906
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8202
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.073
SAESum of the absolute errors50.0331
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as CleanTech Lithium plc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for CleanTech Lithium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CleanTech Lithium plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.279.8514.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.759.3313.91
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CleanTech Lithium

For every potential investor in CleanTech, whether a beginner or expert, CleanTech Lithium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CleanTech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CleanTech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CleanTech Lithium's price trends.

CleanTech Lithium Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CleanTech Lithium stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CleanTech Lithium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CleanTech Lithium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CleanTech Lithium plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CleanTech Lithium's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CleanTech Lithium's current price.

CleanTech Lithium Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CleanTech Lithium stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CleanTech Lithium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CleanTech Lithium stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CleanTech Lithium plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CleanTech Lithium Risk Indicators

The analysis of CleanTech Lithium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CleanTech Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cleantech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in CleanTech Stock

CleanTech Lithium financial ratios help investors to determine whether CleanTech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CleanTech with respect to the benefits of owning CleanTech Lithium security.