ICP Israel Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CTPL1 Stock | ILA 23,160 0.00 0.00% |
ICP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of ICP Israel's share price is below 30 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling ICP Israel Citrus, making its price go up or down. Momentum 29
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ICP Israel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICP Israel Citrus from the perspective of ICP Israel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ICP Israel Citrus on the next trading day is expected to be 23,160 with a mean absolute deviation of 228.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13,480. ICP Israel after-hype prediction price | ILA 23160.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ICP |
ICP Israel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ICP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICP using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ICP Israel Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ICP Israel Citrus on the next trading day is expected to be 23,160 with a mean absolute deviation of 228.47, mean absolute percentage error of 301,476, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13,480.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ICP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ICP Israel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ICP Israel Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ICP Israel | ICP Israel Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ICP Israel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ICP Israel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ICP Israel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23,158 and 23,162, respectively. We have considered ICP Israel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ICP Israel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ICP Israel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 127.0512 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 71.6949 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 228.4746 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0096 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13480.0 |
Predictive Modules for ICP Israel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICP Israel Citrus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ICP Israel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ICP Israel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICP Israel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ICP Israel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ICP Israel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ICP Israel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICP Israel's historical news coverage. ICP Israel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23,158 and 23,162, respectively. We have considered ICP Israel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ICP Israel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICP Israel Citrus is based on 3 months time horizon.
ICP Israel Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ICP Israel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICP Israel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICP Israel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23,160 | 23,160 | 0.00 |
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ICP Israel Hype Timeline
ICP Israel Citrus is currently traded for 23,160on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ICP is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on ICP Israel is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23,160. About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ICP Israel Citrus recorded earning per share (EPS) of 60.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ICP Israel to cross-verify your projections.ICP Israel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ICP Israel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICP Israel's future price movements. Getting to know how ICP Israel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICP Israel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LODZ | Lodzia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.11 | (4.37) | 17.28 | |
| NTNB | Netanel Menivim | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.52 | 0.15 | 8.34 | (3.87) | 13.38 | |
| LBTL | Libental | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.82 | (0) | 4.74 | (5.32) | 14.16 | |
| RAVD | Ravad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.92 | (0) | 2.92 | (3.52) | 20.93 | |
| SFRN | Sufrin Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.40 | (3.37) | 9.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for ICP Israel
For every potential investor in ICP, whether a beginner or expert, ICP Israel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ICP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ICP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ICP Israel's price trends.ICP Israel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ICP Israel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ICP Israel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ICP Israel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ICP Israel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ICP Israel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ICP Israel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ICP Israel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ICP Israel Citrus entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23160.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23160.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 29.68 |
ICP Israel Risk Indicators
The analysis of ICP Israel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ICP Israel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting icp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8255 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Variance | 3.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ICP Israel
The number of cover stories for ICP Israel depends on current market conditions and ICP Israel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ICP Israel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ICP Israel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for ICP Stock Analysis
When running ICP Israel's price analysis, check to measure ICP Israel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ICP Israel is operating at the current time. Most of ICP Israel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ICP Israel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ICP Israel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ICP Israel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.