Viettel Construction Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

CTR Stock   118,900  700.00  0.59%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Viettel Construction JSC on the next trading day is expected to be 126,355 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,585 and the sum of the absolute errors of 146,991. Viettel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Viettel Construction JSC is based on a synthetically constructed Viettel Constructiondaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Viettel Construction 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Viettel Construction JSC on the next trading day is expected to be 126,355 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,585, mean absolute percentage error of 20,974,339, and the sum of the absolute errors of 146,991.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Viettel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Viettel Construction's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Viettel Construction Stock Forecast Pattern

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Viettel Construction Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Viettel Construction's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Viettel Construction's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 126,353 and 126,357, respectively. We have considered Viettel Construction's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
118,900
126,353
Downside
126,355
Expected Value
126,357
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Viettel Construction stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Viettel Construction stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.2118
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 468.5146
MADMean absolute deviation3585.1439
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0283
SAESum of the absolute errors146990.9
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Viettel Construction JSC 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Viettel Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Viettel Construction JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
119,598119,600119,602
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96,87496,876131,560
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
116,798126,438136,077
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Viettel Construction

For every potential investor in Viettel, whether a beginner or expert, Viettel Construction's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Viettel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Viettel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Viettel Construction's price trends.

Viettel Construction Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Viettel Construction stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Viettel Construction could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Viettel Construction by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Viettel Construction JSC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Viettel Construction's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Viettel Construction's current price.

Viettel Construction Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Viettel Construction stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Viettel Construction shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Viettel Construction stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Viettel Construction JSC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Viettel Construction Risk Indicators

The analysis of Viettel Construction's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Viettel Construction's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting viettel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Viettel Construction

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Viettel Construction position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Viettel Construction will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Viettel Stock

  0.33AME Alphanam MEPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Viettel Construction could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Viettel Construction when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Viettel Construction - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Viettel Construction JSC to buy it.
The correlation of Viettel Construction is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Viettel Construction moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Viettel Construction JSC moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Viettel Construction can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Viettel Stock

Viettel Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Viettel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Viettel with respect to the benefits of owning Viettel Construction security.