Centaurus Metals OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CTTZF Stock | USD 0.45 0.01 2.27% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centaurus Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.66. Centaurus OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Centaurus Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Centaurus Metals' otc stock price is roughly 66 suggesting that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Centaurus, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Centaurus Metals based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Centaurus Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centaurus Metals Limited from the perspective of Centaurus Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centaurus Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.66. Centaurus Metals after-hype prediction price | USD 0.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Centaurus |
Centaurus Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Centaurus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centaurus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centaurus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Centaurus Metals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centaurus Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Centaurus OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Centaurus Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Centaurus Metals OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Centaurus Metals | Centaurus Metals Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Centaurus Metals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Centaurus Metals' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Centaurus Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.26, respectively. We have considered Centaurus Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Centaurus Metals otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Centaurus Metals otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.9096 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0023 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.011 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.034 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.66 |
Predictive Modules for Centaurus Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centaurus Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Centaurus Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Centaurus Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Centaurus Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Centaurus Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Centaurus Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Centaurus Metals' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Centaurus Metals' historical news coverage. Centaurus Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 5.26, respectively. We have considered Centaurus Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Centaurus Metals is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Centaurus Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Centaurus Metals OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Centaurus Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Centaurus Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Centaurus Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 4.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.45 | 0.45 | 0.00 |
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Centaurus Metals Hype Timeline
Centaurus Metals is currently traded for 0.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Centaurus is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.72%. %. The volatility of related hype on Centaurus Metals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.45. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.04. Centaurus Metals had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:8 split on the 5th of October 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centaurus Metals to cross-verify your projections.Centaurus Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Centaurus Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Centaurus Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Centaurus Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Centaurus Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNIKF | Canada Nickel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.86 | 0.21 | 10.42 | (7.55) | 38.74 | |
| AAGFF | Aftermath Silver | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.04 | 0.19 | 10.00 | (6.12) | 23.58 | |
| BTRYF | Battery Minerals Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 15.16 | 0.1 | 37.04 | (37.21) | 103.88 | |
| TLGRF | Talga Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 29.79 | |
| TSKFF | Talisker Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.57 | 0.11 | 8.08 | (6.93) | 15.77 | |
| ECGFF | EcoGraf Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GPPRF | Cerro de Pasco | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.19 | 8.82 | (5.13) | 19.66 | |
| RBWRF | Rainbow Rare Earths | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.08 | 0.05 | 13.64 | (11.11) | 33.28 | |
| ASMMF | Australian Strategic Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.39 | 0.07 | 15.00 | (13.48) | 32.74 | |
| OMHLF | OM Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Centaurus Metals
For every potential investor in Centaurus, whether a beginner or expert, Centaurus Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Centaurus OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Centaurus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Centaurus Metals' price trends.Centaurus Metals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Centaurus Metals otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Centaurus Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Centaurus Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Centaurus Metals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Centaurus Metals otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Centaurus Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Centaurus Metals otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Centaurus Metals Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14483.17 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3333 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.45 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 66.38 |
Centaurus Metals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Centaurus Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Centaurus Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting centaurus otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.87 | |||
| Variance | 23.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Centaurus Metals
The number of cover stories for Centaurus Metals depends on current market conditions and Centaurus Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Centaurus Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Centaurus Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Centaurus OTC Stock
Centaurus Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Centaurus OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Centaurus with respect to the benefits of owning Centaurus Metals security.