Cuentas Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CUEN Stock | USD 0.25 0.01 4.17% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cuentas on the next trading day is expected to be 0.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.72. Cuentas Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Cuentas' share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cuentas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cuentas from the perspective of Cuentas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cuentas on the next trading day is expected to be 0.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.72. Cuentas after-hype prediction price | USD 0.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cuentas |
Cuentas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cuentas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cuentas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cuentas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cuentas Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cuentas on the next trading day is expected to be 0.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cuentas Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cuentas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cuentas Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Cuentas Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cuentas' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cuentas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 180.11, respectively. We have considered Cuentas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cuentas pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cuentas pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.3507 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.006 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.012 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1452 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.7182 |
Predictive Modules for Cuentas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cuentas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cuentas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cuentas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cuentas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cuentas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Cuentas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cuentas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cuentas' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cuentas' historical news coverage. Cuentas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 62.74, respectively. We have considered Cuentas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cuentas is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cuentas is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cuentas Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cuentas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cuentas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cuentas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
38.55 | 179.86 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.25 | 0.24 | 2.53 |
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Cuentas Hype Timeline
Cuentas is currently traded for 0.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Cuentas is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 38.55%. The volatility of related hype on Cuentas is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.25. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cuentas recorded a loss per share of 6.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of August 2018. The firm had 1:13 split on the 24th of March 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cuentas to cross-verify your projections.Cuentas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cuentas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cuentas' future price movements. Getting to know how Cuentas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cuentas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTKYY | CooTek Cayman | 0.00 | 0 per month | 22.02 | 0.21 | 352.49 | (76.40) | 688.51 | |
| AFFN | Affinity Networks | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| LRDG | Lord Global Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NYXO | Nyxio Tech Corp | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZTNO | Zoom Technologies | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BVTK | Bravatek Solutions | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TSCC | Technology Solutions Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CYRD | CybeRecord | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TCCO | Technical Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AWIN | AERWINS Technologies | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cuentas
For every potential investor in Cuentas, whether a beginner or expert, Cuentas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cuentas Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cuentas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cuentas' price trends.Cuentas Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cuentas pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cuentas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cuentas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cuentas Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cuentas pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cuentas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cuentas pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Cuentas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.25 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
Cuentas Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cuentas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cuentas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cuentas pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 136.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 12.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 437.04 | |||
| Variance | 191005.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 782.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 147.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (419.44) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cuentas
The number of cover stories for Cuentas depends on current market conditions and Cuentas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cuentas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cuentas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cuentas Short Properties
Cuentas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cuentas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cuentas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cuentas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cuentas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 466 K | |
| Shares Float | 1.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in Cuentas Pink Sheet
Cuentas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cuentas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cuentas with respect to the benefits of owning Cuentas security.