Cuprina Holdings Stock Forward View
| CUPR Stock | 0.43 0.01 2.38% |
Cuprina Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Cuprina Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cuprina Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cuprina Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Cuprina Holdings' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.87) |
Using Cuprina Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cuprina Holdings Limited from the perspective of Cuprina Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cuprina Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.35. Cuprina Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cuprina Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Cuprina Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cuprina price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cuprina using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cuprina charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Cuprina Holdings Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Cuprina Holdings' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 104.8 K | Current Value 99.6 K | Quarterly Volatility 294.2 K |
Cuprina Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cuprina Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cuprina Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cuprina Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cuprina Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cuprina Holdings | Cuprina Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cuprina Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cuprina Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cuprina Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.83, respectively. We have considered Cuprina Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cuprina Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cuprina Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.8892 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0222 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0441 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.3513 |
Predictive Modules for Cuprina Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cuprina Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cuprina Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cuprina Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cuprina Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cuprina Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cuprina Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cuprina Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cuprina Holdings' historical news coverage. Cuprina Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 5.89, respectively. We have considered Cuprina Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cuprina Holdings is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cuprina Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cuprina Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cuprina Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cuprina Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cuprina Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.81 | 5.45 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.43 | 0.44 | 2.33 |
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Cuprina Holdings Hype Timeline
Cuprina Holdings is currently traded for 0.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Cuprina is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.81%. The volatility of related hype on Cuprina Holdings is about 27250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.41. Cuprina Holdings Limited currently holds 254.79 K in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cuprina Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Cuprina Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cuprina Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cuprina Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Cuprina Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cuprina Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRIS | Curis Inc | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.62 | (8.13) | 33.70 | |
| HOTH | Hoth Therapeutics | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 4.81 | (5.79) | 13.69 | |
| PCSA | Processa Pharmaceuticals | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 11.68 | (14.08) | 164.28 | |
| PALI | Palisade Bio | 0.14 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 13.66 | (10.26) | 31.35 | |
| BCTX | Briacell Therapeutics Corp | (0.28) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 13.96 | (9.09) | 98.43 | |
| CURX | Curanex Pharmaceuticals Common | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 7.32 | (10.00) | 29.74 | |
| SYBX | Synlogic | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.36 | (10.43) | 56.19 | |
| PULM | Pulmatrix | (0.11) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.62 | (5.75) | 51.95 | |
| ASBP | Aspire BioPharma | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 19.52 | (23.85) | 66.08 | |
| ENTO | Entero Therapeutics | 0.09 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 16.86 | (17.06) | 39.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cuprina Holdings
For every potential investor in Cuprina, whether a beginner or expert, Cuprina Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cuprina Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cuprina. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cuprina Holdings' price trends.Cuprina Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cuprina Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cuprina Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cuprina Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cuprina Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cuprina Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cuprina Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cuprina Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cuprina Holdings Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cuprina Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cuprina Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cuprina Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cuprina stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.38 | |||
| Variance | 28.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cuprina Holdings
The number of cover stories for Cuprina Holdings depends on current market conditions and Cuprina Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cuprina Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cuprina Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cuprina Holdings Short Properties
Cuprina Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cuprina Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cuprina Holdings Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cuprina Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cuprina Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 116.5 K |
Additional Tools for Cuprina Stock Analysis
When running Cuprina Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Cuprina Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cuprina Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Cuprina Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cuprina Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cuprina Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cuprina Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.