Caribbean Utilities Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CUPUF Stock | USD 13.66 0.14 1.04% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Caribbean Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 13.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28. Caribbean Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Caribbean Utilities' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Caribbean Utilities' share price is at 57 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Caribbean Utilities, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Caribbean Utilities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caribbean Utilities from the perspective of Caribbean Utilities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Caribbean Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 13.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28. Caribbean Utilities after-hype prediction price | USD 13.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Caribbean |
Caribbean Utilities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Caribbean price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caribbean using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caribbean charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Caribbean Utilities Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Caribbean Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 13.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Caribbean Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Caribbean Utilities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Caribbean Utilities Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Caribbean Utilities | Caribbean Utilities Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Caribbean Utilities Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Caribbean Utilities' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Caribbean Utilities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.38 and 14.94, respectively. We have considered Caribbean Utilities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Caribbean Utilities pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Caribbean Utilities pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.6895 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0113 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1046 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0079 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.2752 |
Predictive Modules for Caribbean Utilities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caribbean Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caribbean Utilities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Caribbean Utilities After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Caribbean Utilities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caribbean Utilities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Caribbean Utilities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Caribbean Utilities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Caribbean Utilities' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caribbean Utilities' historical news coverage. Caribbean Utilities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.38 and 14.94, respectively. We have considered Caribbean Utilities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Caribbean Utilities is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caribbean Utilities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Caribbean Utilities Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Caribbean Utilities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caribbean Utilities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caribbean Utilities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.66 | 13.66 | 0.00 |
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Caribbean Utilities Hype Timeline
Caribbean Utilities is currently traded for 13.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Caribbean is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Caribbean Utilities is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.66. About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Caribbean Utilities last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2023. The entity had 1213:1206 split on the 25th of March 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Caribbean Utilities to cross-verify your projections.Caribbean Utilities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Caribbean Utilities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caribbean Utilities' future price movements. Getting to know how Caribbean Utilities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caribbean Utilities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AHWSF | Athens Water Supply | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CWPWF | Concord New Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| FSGCY | First Gen Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BOTRF | China Everbright Water | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AWAEF | SIIC Environment Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CNLPL | The Connecticut Light | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.57 | (2.35) | 6.18 | |
| ABTZY | Aboitiz Equity Ventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.0007) | 0.00 | (7.56) | 38.48 | |
| ASCOF | Ascopiave SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ABZPY | Aboitiz Power Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Caribbean Utilities
For every potential investor in Caribbean, whether a beginner or expert, Caribbean Utilities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Caribbean Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Caribbean. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Caribbean Utilities' price trends.Caribbean Utilities Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Caribbean Utilities pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Caribbean Utilities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caribbean Utilities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Caribbean Utilities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Caribbean Utilities pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Caribbean Utilities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Caribbean Utilities pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Caribbean Utilities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.07 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.14 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.73 |
Caribbean Utilities Risk Indicators
The analysis of Caribbean Utilities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Caribbean Utilities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caribbean pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8621 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Variance | 2.12 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Caribbean Utilities
The number of cover stories for Caribbean Utilities depends on current market conditions and Caribbean Utilities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caribbean Utilities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caribbean Utilities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Caribbean Pink Sheet
Caribbean Utilities financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caribbean Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caribbean with respect to the benefits of owning Caribbean Utilities security.