Columbia Sportswear Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CUW Stock | EUR 55.00 5.00 10.00% |
Columbia Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Columbia Sportswear's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Columbia Sportswear's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Wall Street Target Price 124.52 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Columbia Sportswear hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Columbia Sportswear from the perspective of Columbia Sportswear response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Columbia Sportswear on the next trading day is expected to be 55.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.30. Columbia Sportswear after-hype prediction price | EUR 55.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Columbia |
Columbia Sportswear Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Columbia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Columbia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Columbia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Columbia Sportswear Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Columbia Sportswear on the next trading day is expected to be 55.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Columbia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Columbia Sportswear's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Columbia Sportswear Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Columbia Sportswear | Columbia Sportswear Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Columbia Sportswear Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Columbia Sportswear's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Columbia Sportswear's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 52.32 and 57.68, respectively. We have considered Columbia Sportswear's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Columbia Sportswear stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Columbia Sportswear stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7418 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1943 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8883 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0189 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.3 |
Predictive Modules for Columbia Sportswear
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Sportswear. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Columbia Sportswear After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Columbia Sportswear at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Columbia Sportswear or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Columbia Sportswear, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Columbia Sportswear Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Columbia Sportswear's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Columbia Sportswear's historical news coverage. Columbia Sportswear's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.12 and 58.52, respectively. We have considered Columbia Sportswear's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Columbia Sportswear is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Columbia Sportswear is based on 3 months time horizon.
Columbia Sportswear Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Columbia Sportswear is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Columbia Sportswear backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Columbia Sportswear, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 2.68 | 0.80 | 0.16 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
55.00 | 55.82 | 1.49 |
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Columbia Sportswear Hype Timeline
Columbia Sportswear is currently traded for 55.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.8, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Columbia is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 55.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 134.0%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 1.49%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Columbia Sportswear is about 663.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.16. The company reported the revenue of 3.37 B. Net Income was 223.27 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.72 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Columbia Sportswear to cross-verify your projections.Columbia Sportswear Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Columbia Sportswear's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Columbia Sportswear's future price movements. Getting to know how Columbia Sportswear's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Columbia Sportswear may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PUP | Public Storage | 0.80 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.50 | (2.40) | 6.91 | |
| BJI | DATANG INTL POW | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.17 | (4.00) | 16.39 | |
| D0D | DICKER DATA LTD | 0.05 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.27 | (4.92) | 11.46 | |
| XS4 | ON SEMICONDUCTOR | 2.45 | 9 per month | 2.31 | 0.10 | 5.99 | (4.27) | 15.72 | |
| DOC2 | DOCDATA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.44 | (4.65) | 14.17 | |
| 2DG | SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.57 | (5.88) | 18.33 | |
| JAT | Japan Tobacco | (0.28) | 6 per month | 1.04 | 0.08 | 1.80 | (1.68) | 5.22 | |
| 8KH | TOREX SEMICONDUCTOR LTD | 0.20 | 6 per month | 1.92 | (0.01) | 4.03 | (3.53) | 12.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Columbia Sportswear
For every potential investor in Columbia, whether a beginner or expert, Columbia Sportswear's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Columbia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Columbia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Columbia Sportswear's price trends.Columbia Sportswear Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Columbia Sportswear stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Columbia Sportswear could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Columbia Sportswear by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Columbia Sportswear Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Columbia Sportswear stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Columbia Sportswear shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Columbia Sportswear stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Columbia Sportswear entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.1 | |||
| Day Median Price | 55.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 55.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.0 |
Columbia Sportswear Risk Indicators
The analysis of Columbia Sportswear's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Columbia Sportswear's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting columbia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Variance | 7.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Columbia Sportswear
The number of cover stories for Columbia Sportswear depends on current market conditions and Columbia Sportswear's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Columbia Sportswear is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Columbia Sportswear's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Columbia Sportswear to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Columbia Stock please use our How to Invest in Columbia Sportswear guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.