Calamos Opportunistic Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CVAIX Fund | USD 24.34 0.04 0.16% |
Calamos Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Calamos Opportunistic's share price is at 54 suggesting that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Calamos Opportunistic, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Calamos Opportunistic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Calamos Opportunistic Value from the perspective of Calamos Opportunistic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Calamos Opportunistic Value on the next trading day is expected to be 24.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.60. Calamos Opportunistic after-hype prediction price | USD 24.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Calamos |
Calamos Opportunistic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Calamos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Calamos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Calamos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Calamos Opportunistic Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Calamos Opportunistic Value on the next trading day is expected to be 24.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Calamos Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Calamos Opportunistic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Calamos Opportunistic Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Calamos Opportunistic | Calamos Opportunistic Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Calamos Opportunistic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Calamos Opportunistic's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Calamos Opportunistic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.37 and 25.31, respectively. We have considered Calamos Opportunistic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Calamos Opportunistic mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Calamos Opportunistic mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6578 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.026 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1797 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0076 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.605 |
Predictive Modules for Calamos Opportunistic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos Opportunistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Calamos Opportunistic After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Calamos Opportunistic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Calamos Opportunistic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Calamos Opportunistic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Calamos Opportunistic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Calamos Opportunistic's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Calamos Opportunistic's historical news coverage. Calamos Opportunistic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.37 and 25.31, respectively. We have considered Calamos Opportunistic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Calamos Opportunistic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Calamos Opportunistic is based on 3 months time horizon.
Calamos Opportunistic Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Calamos Opportunistic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Calamos Opportunistic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Calamos Opportunistic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.97 | 0.74 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.34 | 24.34 | 0.00 |
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Calamos Opportunistic Hype Timeline
Calamos Opportunistic is currently traded for 24.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Calamos is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 10.45%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Calamos Opportunistic is about 357.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.36. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Calamos Opportunistic last dividend was issued on the 18th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Calamos Opportunistic to cross-verify your projections.Calamos Opportunistic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Calamos Opportunistic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Calamos Opportunistic's future price movements. Getting to know how Calamos Opportunistic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Calamos Opportunistic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMFFX | American Mutual Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | 0.06 | 0.87 | (1.03) | 7.65 | |
| DLQIX | Dreyfus Large Cap | 0.34 | 1 per month | 0.20 | 0.11 | 1.10 | (1.30) | 20.87 | |
| TALCX | Transamerica Large Cap | 0.11 | 1 per month | 0.40 | 0.14 | 1.25 | (1.07) | 3.74 | |
| JDVNX | Jhancock Disciplined Value | (10.60) | 7 per month | 0.53 | 0.11 | 1.47 | (1.28) | 8.49 | |
| CMIFX | Calvert Large Cap | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (1.08) | 0.10 | (0.10) | 0.21 | |
| CBLSX | Cb Large Cap | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.30 | 0.12 | 1.54 | (1.02) | 14.41 | |
| PCLVX | Pace Large Value | 12.27 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1.33 | (0.87) | 13.58 | |
| ALCEX | Avantis Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.54 | 0.14 | 1.66 | (1.33) | 3.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Calamos Opportunistic
For every potential investor in Calamos, whether a beginner or expert, Calamos Opportunistic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Calamos Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Calamos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Calamos Opportunistic's price trends.Calamos Opportunistic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Calamos Opportunistic mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Calamos Opportunistic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Calamos Opportunistic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Calamos Opportunistic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Calamos Opportunistic mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Calamos Opportunistic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Calamos Opportunistic mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Calamos Opportunistic Value entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.34 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.21 |
Calamos Opportunistic Risk Indicators
The analysis of Calamos Opportunistic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Calamos Opportunistic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting calamos mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6067 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6914 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9556 | |||
| Variance | 0.9132 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7955 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4781 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Calamos Opportunistic
The number of cover stories for Calamos Opportunistic depends on current market conditions and Calamos Opportunistic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Calamos Opportunistic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Calamos Opportunistic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Calamos Mutual Fund
Calamos Opportunistic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calamos Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calamos with respect to the benefits of owning Calamos Opportunistic security.
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