Cavitation Techs OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CVAT Stock  USD 0.04  0  4.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cavitation Techs on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.31. Cavitation OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Cavitation Techs' share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Cavitation Techs stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Cavitation Techs shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Cavitation Techs' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cavitation Techs and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cavitation Techs' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cavitation Techs, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cavitation Techs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cavitation Techs from the perspective of Cavitation Techs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cavitation Techs on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.31.

Cavitation Techs after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0487  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cavitation Techs to cross-verify your projections.

Cavitation Techs Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cavitation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cavitation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cavitation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Cavitation Techs is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cavitation Techs value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cavitation Techs Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cavitation Techs on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000041, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cavitation OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cavitation Techs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cavitation Techs OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cavitation TechsCavitation Techs Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cavitation Techs Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cavitation Techs' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cavitation Techs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 11.25, respectively. We have considered Cavitation Techs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.0004
Downside
0.04
Expected Value
11.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cavitation Techs otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cavitation Techs otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.8523
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.005
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0852
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3129
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cavitation Techs. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cavitation Techs. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cavitation Techs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cavitation Techs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0511.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0411.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cavitation Techs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cavitation Techs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cavitation Techs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cavitation Techs.

Cavitation Techs After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cavitation Techs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cavitation Techs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Cavitation Techs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cavitation Techs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cavitation Techs' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cavitation Techs' historical news coverage. Cavitation Techs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 11.27, respectively. We have considered Cavitation Techs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.04
0.05
After-hype Price
11.27
Upside
Cavitation Techs is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cavitation Techs is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cavitation Techs OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Cavitation Techs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cavitation Techs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cavitation Techs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
11.22
  0.29 
  0.06 
14 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 14 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.04
0.05
17.03 
1,049  
Notes

Cavitation Techs Hype Timeline

Cavitation Techs is currently traded for 0.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Cavitation is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.0487 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 17.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Cavitation Techs is about 5242.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.10. Cavitation Techs currently holds 150 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.33, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cavitation Techs has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Cavitation Techs until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cavitation Techs' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cavitation Techs sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cavitation to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cavitation Techs' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 14 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cavitation Techs to cross-verify your projections.

Cavitation Techs Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cavitation Techs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cavitation Techs' future price movements. Getting to know how Cavitation Techs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cavitation Techs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TOODThermwood 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BRRNBorn Inc 3.47 10 per month 0.00  0.07  0.95  0.00  32.03 
AUSIAura Systems 3.47 10 per month 0.00 (0.01) 30.77 (28.57) 90.83 
UNXPUnited Express(1.05)1 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.00  0.00  47.24 
FBRKFFBR Limited 0.00 0 per month 16.99  0.14  53.33 (34.88) 258.46 
REOPReo Plastics(0.27)17 per month 1.30  0.01  2.56 (3.10) 9.45 
IAALFIBC Advanced Alloys(0.13)12 per month 3.85  0.09  9.09 (7.69) 47.62 
TIMNFTimminco Limited 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MRCRMoro Corp(3.35)2 per month 2.28  0.09  5.08 (5.44) 64.26 
COLDFCardno Limited 0.00 9 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Cavitation Techs

For every potential investor in Cavitation, whether a beginner or expert, Cavitation Techs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cavitation OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cavitation. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cavitation Techs' price trends.

Cavitation Techs Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cavitation Techs otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cavitation Techs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cavitation Techs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cavitation Techs Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cavitation Techs otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cavitation Techs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cavitation Techs otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cavitation Techs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cavitation Techs Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cavitation Techs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cavitation Techs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cavitation otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cavitation Techs

The number of cover stories for Cavitation Techs depends on current market conditions and Cavitation Techs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cavitation Techs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cavitation Techs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Cavitation OTC Stock Analysis

When running Cavitation Techs' price analysis, check to measure Cavitation Techs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cavitation Techs is operating at the current time. Most of Cavitation Techs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cavitation Techs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cavitation Techs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cavitation Techs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.