Computer Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CVB Stock  EUR 0.16  0.01  5.88%   
Computer Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Computer's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Computer's share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Computer, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Computer's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Computer and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Computer's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Computer And Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Computer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Computer And Technologies from the perspective of Computer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Computer And Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.18.

Computer after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Computer to cross-verify your projections.

Computer Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Computer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Computer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Computer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Computer simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Computer And Technologies are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Computer And Technologies prices get older.

Computer Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Computer And Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000018, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Computer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Computer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Computer Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Computer  Computer Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Computer Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Computer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Computer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.41, respectively. We have considered Computer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.16
0.16
Expected Value
3.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Computer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Computer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.3361
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 5.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.003
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors0.179
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Computer And Technologies forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Computer observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Computer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Computer And Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.163.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.143.39
Details

Computer After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Computer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Computer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Computer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Computer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Computer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Computer's historical news coverage. Computer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 3.41, respectively. We have considered Computer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.16
0.16
After-hype Price
3.41
Upside
Computer is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Computer And Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Computer Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Computer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Computer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Computer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
3.25
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.16
0.16
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Computer Hype Timeline

Computer And Technologies is currently traded for 0.16on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Computer is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Computer is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.16. About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Computer And Technologies last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Computer to cross-verify your projections.

Computer Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Computer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Computer's future price movements. Getting to know how Computer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Computer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Computer

For every potential investor in Computer, whether a beginner or expert, Computer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Computer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Computer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Computer's price trends.

Computer Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Computer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Computer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Computer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Computer Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Computer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Computer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Computer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Computer And Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Computer Risk Indicators

The analysis of Computer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Computer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting computer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Computer

The number of cover stories for Computer depends on current market conditions and Computer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Computer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Computer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Computer Short Properties

Computer's future price predictability will typically decrease when Computer's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Computer And Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Computer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Computer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding249.5 M
Dividends Paid44.6 M

Other Information on Investing in Computer Stock

Computer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Computer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Computer with respect to the benefits of owning Computer security.