Compañía Cervecerías Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CVU Stock | EUR 12.00 0.10 0.83% |
Compañía Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Compañía Cervecerías' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 18th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Compañía Cervecerías' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Wall Street Target Price 20.46 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Compañía Cervecerías hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Compaa Cerveceras Unidas from the perspective of Compañía Cervecerías response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compaa Cerveceras Unidas on the next trading day is expected to be 12.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.80. Compañía Cervecerías after-hype prediction price | EUR 12.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Compañía |
Compañía Cervecerías Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Compañía price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compañía using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compañía charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Compañía Cervecerías Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compaa Cerveceras Unidas on the next trading day is expected to be 12.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compañía Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compañía Cervecerías' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Compañía Cervecerías Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Compañía Cervecerías | Compañía Cervecerías Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Compañía Cervecerías Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Compañía Cervecerías' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Compañía Cervecerías' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.49 and 14.56, respectively. We have considered Compañía Cervecerías' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compañía Cervecerías stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compañía Cervecerías stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0389 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.217 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0188 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.8005 |
Predictive Modules for Compañía Cervecerías
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compaa Cerveceras Unidas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Compañía Cervecerías After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Compañía Cervecerías at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Compañía Cervecerías or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Compañía Cervecerías, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Compañía Cervecerías Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Compañía Cervecerías' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Compañía Cervecerías' historical news coverage. Compañía Cervecerías' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.59 and 14.69, respectively. We have considered Compañía Cervecerías' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Compañía Cervecerías is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Compaa Cerveceras Unidas is based on 3 months time horizon.
Compañía Cervecerías Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Compañía Cervecerías is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Compañía Cervecerías backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Compañía Cervecerías, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.53 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.00 | 12.14 | 1.17 |
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Compañía Cervecerías Hype Timeline
Compaa Cerveceras Unidas is currently traded for 12.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Compañía is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 1.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Compañía Cervecerías is about 1884.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.03. The company reported the revenue of 2.9 T. Net Income was 160.94 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.36 T. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compañía Cervecerías to cross-verify your projections.Compañía Cervecerías Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Compañía Cervecerías' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Compañía Cervecerías' future price movements. Getting to know how Compañía Cervecerías' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Compañía Cervecerías may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UUEC | UNITED UTILITIES GR | 0.20 | 1 per month | 0.86 | 0.13 | 2.78 | (2.11) | 5.36 | |
| BOQ | BOS BETTER ONLINE | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CBR | CHIBA BANK | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.49 | 0.15 | 2.21 | (1.09) | 5.28 | |
| 26Y | YATRA ONLINE DL 0001 | 0.00 | 1 per month | 4.56 | 0.03 | 10.16 | (7.79) | 22.44 | |
| CBR | Chiba Bank | 0.30 | 3 per month | 1.23 | 0.25 | 4.80 | (2.75) | 14.01 | |
| WN6 | Carsales | 0.30 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.01 | (3.57) | 13.90 | |
| XCA | CREDIT AGRICOLE | 0.14 | 8 per month | 1.25 | 0.09 | 2.03 | (2.24) | 6.13 |
Other Forecasting Options for Compañía Cervecerías
For every potential investor in Compañía, whether a beginner or expert, Compañía Cervecerías' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Compañía Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Compañía. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Compañía Cervecerías' price trends.Compañía Cervecerías Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Compañía Cervecerías stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Compañía Cervecerías could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Compañía Cervecerías by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Compañía Cervecerías Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Compañía Cervecerías stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Compañía Cervecerías shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Compañía Cervecerías stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Compaa Cerveceras Unidas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) |
Compañía Cervecerías Risk Indicators
The analysis of Compañía Cervecerías' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Compañía Cervecerías' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting compañía stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Variance | 6.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Compañía Cervecerías
The number of cover stories for Compañía Cervecerías depends on current market conditions and Compañía Cervecerías' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Compañía Cervecerías is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Compañía Cervecerías' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Compañía Stock
Compañía Cervecerías financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compañía Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compañía with respect to the benefits of owning Compañía Cervecerías security.