Covestro Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CVVTF Stock | USD 66.00 0.00 0.00% |
Covestro Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Covestro's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Covestro's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Covestro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Covestro AG from the perspective of Covestro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Covestro AG on the next trading day is expected to be 66.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Covestro after-hype prediction price | USD 66.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Covestro |
Covestro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Covestro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Covestro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Covestro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Covestro Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Covestro AG on the next trading day is expected to be 66.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Covestro Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Covestro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Covestro Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Covestro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Covestro's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Covestro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.00 and 66.00, respectively. We have considered Covestro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Covestro pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Covestro pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Covestro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Covestro AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Covestro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Covestro After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Covestro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Covestro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Covestro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Covestro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Covestro's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Covestro's historical news coverage. Covestro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.00 and 66.00, respectively. We have considered Covestro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Covestro is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Covestro AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Covestro Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Covestro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Covestro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Covestro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
66.00 | 66.00 | 0.00 |
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Covestro Hype Timeline
Covestro AG is currently traded for 66.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Covestro is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Covestro is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.00. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Covestro AG has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.31. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.2. The firm last dividend was issued on the 22nd of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Covestro to cross-verify your projections.Covestro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Covestro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Covestro's future price movements. Getting to know how Covestro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Covestro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for Covestro
For every potential investor in Covestro, whether a beginner or expert, Covestro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Covestro Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Covestro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Covestro's price trends.View Covestro Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Covestro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Covestro pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Covestro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Covestro pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Covestro AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Covestro
The number of cover stories for Covestro depends on current market conditions and Covestro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Covestro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Covestro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Covestro Pink Sheet
Covestro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Covestro Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Covestro with respect to the benefits of owning Covestro security.