Clearwater Analytics Stock Forward View

CWAN Stock  USD 24.08  0.01  0.04%   
Clearwater Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Clearwater Analytics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Clearwater Analytics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Clearwater Analytics fundamentals over time.
The relative strength indicator of Clearwater Analytics' stock price is about 68 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Clearwater, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 68

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Clearwater Analytics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Clearwater Analytics Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Clearwater Analytics' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.028
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1378
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.5529
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.043
Wall Street Target Price
25.9125
Using Clearwater Analytics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Clearwater Analytics Holdings from the perspective of Clearwater Analytics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Clearwater Analytics using Clearwater Analytics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Clearwater using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Clearwater Analytics' stock price.

Clearwater Analytics Short Interest

An investor who is long Clearwater Analytics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Clearwater Analytics and may potentially protect profits, hedge Clearwater Analytics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
21.2359
Short Percent
0.0778
Short Ratio
1.33
Shares Short Prior Month
27.5 M
50 Day MA
22.7632

Clearwater Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Clearwater Analytics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 23.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.73.

Clearwater Analytics Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Clearwater Analytics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Clearwater. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Clearwater can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Clearwater Analytics Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Clearwater Analytics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Clearwater Analytics.

Clearwater Analytics Implied Volatility

    
  0.76  
Clearwater Analytics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Clearwater Analytics Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Clearwater Analytics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Clearwater Analytics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Clearwater Analytics' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Clearwater Analytics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 23.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.73.

Clearwater Analytics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 24.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearwater Analytics to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Clearwater contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Clearwater Analytics Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0475% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Clearwater Analytics trading at USD 24.08, that is roughly USD 0.0114 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Clearwater Analytics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Clearwater Analytics Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Clearwater Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Clearwater Analytics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Clearwater Analytics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Clearwater Analytics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Clearwater Analytics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Clearwater Analytics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Clearwater Analytics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Clearwater. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Clearwater Analytics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Clearwater price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Clearwater using various technical indicators. When you analyze Clearwater charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Clearwater Analytics Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Clearwater Analytics' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-03-31
Previous Quarter
68.4 M
Current Value
60.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
104 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Clearwater Analytics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Clearwater Analytics Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Clearwater Analytics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Clearwater Analytics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 23.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clearwater Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clearwater Analytics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Clearwater Analytics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Clearwater Analytics  Clearwater Analytics Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Clearwater Analytics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Clearwater Analytics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clearwater Analytics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.18 and 26.58, respectively. We have considered Clearwater Analytics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.08
23.88
Expected Value
26.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clearwater Analytics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clearwater Analytics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.231
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.471
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.023
SAESum of the absolute errors28.732
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Clearwater Analytics Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Clearwater Analytics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Clearwater Analytics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clearwater Analytics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3824.0826.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5422.2424.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
23.9924.1524.30
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.5825.9128.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Clearwater Analytics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Clearwater Analytics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Clearwater Analytics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Clearwater Analytics.

Clearwater Analytics After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Clearwater Analytics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Clearwater Analytics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Clearwater Analytics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Clearwater Analytics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Clearwater Analytics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Clearwater Analytics' historical news coverage. Clearwater Analytics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.38 and 26.78, respectively. We have considered Clearwater Analytics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
24.08
24.08
After-hype Price
26.78
Upside
Clearwater Analytics is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Clearwater Analytics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Clearwater Analytics Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Clearwater Analytics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Clearwater Analytics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Clearwater Analytics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.49 
2.70
 0.00  
  0.12 
7 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.08
24.08
0.00 
27,000  
Notes

Clearwater Analytics Hype Timeline

Clearwater Analytics is currently traded for 24.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.12. Clearwater is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on Clearwater Analytics is about 1067.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.96. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Clearwater Analytics was currently reported as 6.87. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearwater Analytics to cross-verify your projections.

Clearwater Analytics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Clearwater Analytics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Clearwater Analytics' future price movements. Getting to know how Clearwater Analytics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Clearwater Analytics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BILLBill Com Holdings(0.95)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.55 (4.62) 18.79 
WKWorkiva(0.30)12 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.07 (3.49) 10.41 
WEXWex Inc 0.31 3 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.31 (2.82) 8.14 
FROGJfrog(0.88)11 per month 2.69  0.05  6.25 (4.57) 31.58 
DGNXDiginex Limited Ordinary(0.20)9 per month 0.00 (0.28) 17.74 (21.43) 58.12 
BULLWebull Corp(0.15)7 per month 0.00 (0.23) 4.58 (5.86) 12.33 
ACIWACI Worldwide(0.38)10 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.08 (3.30) 9.43 
INGMIngram Micro Holding 0.13 10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.53 (2.64) 9.36 
BTDRBitdeer Technologies Group 0.53 7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 8.05 (9.13) 24.26 
ZETAZeta Global Holdings(0.64)18 per month 3.79  0.01  8.32 (5.77) 28.98 

Other Forecasting Options for Clearwater Analytics

For every potential investor in Clearwater, whether a beginner or expert, Clearwater Analytics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clearwater Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clearwater. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clearwater Analytics' price trends.

Clearwater Analytics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clearwater Analytics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clearwater Analytics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clearwater Analytics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Clearwater Analytics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clearwater Analytics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clearwater Analytics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clearwater Analytics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Clearwater Analytics Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Clearwater Analytics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Clearwater Analytics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clearwater Analytics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clearwater stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Clearwater Analytics

The number of cover stories for Clearwater Analytics depends on current market conditions and Clearwater Analytics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Clearwater Analytics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Clearwater Analytics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Clearwater Analytics Short Properties

Clearwater Analytics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Clearwater Analytics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Clearwater Analytics Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Clearwater Analytics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clearwater Analytics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding254.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments255.5 M
When determining whether Clearwater Analytics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Clearwater Analytics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Clearwater Analytics Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Clearwater Analytics Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearwater Analytics to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Clearwater diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clearwater Analytics. Projected growth potential of Clearwater fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Clearwater Analytics data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.028
Earnings Share
1.56
Revenue Per Share
2.504
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.771
Return On Assets
0.006
The market value of Clearwater Analytics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clearwater that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clearwater Analytics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clearwater Analytics' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Clearwater Analytics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clearwater Analytics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Clearwater Analytics' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Clearwater Analytics should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Clearwater Analytics' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.