CEWE Stiftung Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CWC Stock  EUR 99.40  0.40  0.40%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CEWE Stiftung Co on the next trading day is expected to be 99.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.23. CEWE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CEWE Stiftung's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for CEWE Stiftung - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When CEWE Stiftung prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in CEWE Stiftung price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of CEWE Stiftung.

CEWE Stiftung Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CEWE Stiftung Co on the next trading day is expected to be 99.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 1.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CEWE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CEWE Stiftung's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CEWE Stiftung Stock Forecast Pattern

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CEWE Stiftung Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CEWE Stiftung's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CEWE Stiftung's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.32 and 100.63, respectively. We have considered CEWE Stiftung's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
99.40
99.47
Expected Value
100.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CEWE Stiftung stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CEWE Stiftung stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1507
MADMean absolute deviation1.004
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.01
SAESum of the absolute errors59.235
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past CEWE Stiftung observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older CEWE Stiftung Co observations.

Predictive Modules for CEWE Stiftung

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CEWE Stiftung. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.2499.40100.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.7799.93101.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
98.7499.48100.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CEWE Stiftung

For every potential investor in CEWE, whether a beginner or expert, CEWE Stiftung's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CEWE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CEWE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CEWE Stiftung's price trends.

CEWE Stiftung Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CEWE Stiftung stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CEWE Stiftung could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CEWE Stiftung by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CEWE Stiftung Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CEWE Stiftung's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CEWE Stiftung's current price.

CEWE Stiftung Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CEWE Stiftung stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CEWE Stiftung shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CEWE Stiftung stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CEWE Stiftung Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CEWE Stiftung Risk Indicators

The analysis of CEWE Stiftung's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CEWE Stiftung's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cewe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in CEWE Stock

CEWE Stiftung financial ratios help investors to determine whether CEWE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CEWE with respect to the benefits of owning CEWE Stiftung security.