Consolidated Water Stock Forward View
| CWCO Stock | USD 37.80 0.55 1.43% |
Consolidated Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Consolidated Water's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Consolidated Water's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Consolidated Water fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Consolidated Water's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Consolidated Water, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.212 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.26 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.24 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.56 | Wall Street Target Price 43 |
Using Consolidated Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Consolidated Water Co from the perspective of Consolidated Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Consolidated Water using Consolidated Water's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Consolidated using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Consolidated Water's stock price.
Consolidated Water Short Interest
An investor who is long Consolidated Water may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Consolidated Water and may potentially protect profits, hedge Consolidated Water with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 31.8446 | Short Percent 0.0368 | Short Ratio 8.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 580.9 K | 50 Day MA 35.624 |
Consolidated Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Consolidated Water Co on the next trading day is expected to be 38.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.69.Consolidated Water Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Consolidated Water's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Consolidated. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Consolidated can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Consolidated Water Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Consolidated Water's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Consolidated Water.
Consolidated Water Implied Volatility | 0.86 |
Consolidated Water's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Consolidated Water Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Consolidated Water's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Consolidated Water stock will not fluctuate a lot when Consolidated Water's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Consolidated Water Co on the next trading day is expected to be 38.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.69. Consolidated Water after-hype prediction price | USD 37.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Consolidated | Build AI portfolio with Consolidated Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Consolidated contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Consolidated Water Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0538% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Consolidated Water trading at USD 37.8, that is roughly USD 0.0203 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Consolidated Water's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Consolidated Water Co options at the current volatility level of 0.86%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Consolidated Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Consolidated Water's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Consolidated Water's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Consolidated Water stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Consolidated Water's open interest, investors have to compare it to Consolidated Water's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Consolidated Water is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Consolidated. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Consolidated Water Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Consolidated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Consolidated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Consolidated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Consolidated Water Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Consolidated Water's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1993-12-31 | Previous Quarter 112.2 M | Current Value 123.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 25.2 M |
Consolidated Water Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Consolidated Water Co on the next trading day is expected to be 38.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Consolidated Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Consolidated Water's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Consolidated Water Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Consolidated Water | Consolidated Water Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Consolidated Water Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Consolidated Water's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Consolidated Water's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.83 and 40.37, respectively. We have considered Consolidated Water's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Consolidated Water stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Consolidated Water stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.4032 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6078 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0171 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.6858 |
Predictive Modules for Consolidated Water
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Consolidated Water. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Consolidated Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Consolidated Water After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Consolidated Water at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Consolidated Water or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Consolidated Water, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Consolidated Water Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Consolidated Water's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Consolidated Water's historical news coverage. Consolidated Water's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.07 and 39.61, respectively. We have considered Consolidated Water's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Consolidated Water is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Consolidated Water is based on 3 months time horizon.
Consolidated Water Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Consolidated Water is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Consolidated Water backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Consolidated Water, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.77 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37.80 | 37.84 | 0.11 |
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Consolidated Water Hype Timeline
Consolidated Water is currently traded for 37.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Consolidated is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Consolidated Water is about 2124.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.78. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 133.97 M. Net Income was 17.88 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.58 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Consolidated Water to cross-verify your projections.Consolidated Water Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Consolidated Water's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Consolidated Water's future price movements. Getting to know how Consolidated Water's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Consolidated Water may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YORW | The York Water | (0.01) | 10 per month | 1.03 | 0.06 | 2.22 | (1.69) | 7.08 | |
| CDZI | Cadiz Inc | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.11 | (6.10) | 20.69 | |
| NRGV | Energy Vault Holdings | (0.02) | 1 per month | 5.40 | 0.13 | 13.46 | (9.23) | 40.66 | |
| ARTNA | Artesian Resources | 0.27 | 8 per month | 1.22 | 0.01 | 1.82 | (2.16) | 7.00 | |
| GNE | Genie Energy | (0.39) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.47 | (3.28) | 8.20 | |
| PCYO | Pure Cycle | (0.33) | 8 per month | 1.30 | 0.02 | 3.36 | (2.18) | 7.99 | |
| GWRS | Global Water Resources | 0.06 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.21 | (3.48) | 9.15 | |
| MSEX | Middlesex Water | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.13 | (3.32) | 14.11 | |
| NFE | New Fortress Energy | 0.03 | 10 per month | 6.03 | 0.04 | 14.41 | (8.53) | 45.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Consolidated Water
For every potential investor in Consolidated, whether a beginner or expert, Consolidated Water's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Consolidated Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Consolidated. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Consolidated Water's price trends.Consolidated Water Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Consolidated Water stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Consolidated Water could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Consolidated Water by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Consolidated Water Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Consolidated Water stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Consolidated Water shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Consolidated Water stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Consolidated Water Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2545.41 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.47) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 38.09 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 37.99 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.56) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.55) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.76 |
Consolidated Water Risk Indicators
The analysis of Consolidated Water's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Consolidated Water's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting consolidated stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Consolidated Water
The number of cover stories for Consolidated Water depends on current market conditions and Consolidated Water's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Consolidated Water is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Consolidated Water's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Consolidated Water Short Properties
Consolidated Water's future price predictability will typically decrease when Consolidated Water's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Consolidated Water Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Consolidated Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Consolidated Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Consolidated Water to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Will Water Utilities sector continue expanding? Could Consolidated diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Consolidated Water. Projected growth potential of Consolidated fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Consolidated Water data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.212 | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share 1.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.052 |
Understanding Consolidated Water requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Consolidated's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Consolidated Water's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Consolidated Water's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Consolidated Water's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Consolidated Water should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Consolidated Water's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.