Cushman Wakefield Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CWK Stock  USD 16.63  0.40  2.35%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cushman Wakefield plc on the next trading day is expected to be 16.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.13. Cushman Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Cushman Wakefield's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cushman Wakefield's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cushman Wakefield fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Cushman Wakefield's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cushman Wakefield, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cushman Wakefield's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cushman Wakefield plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cushman Wakefield's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.571
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.551
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.2176
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.4489
Wall Street Target Price
18.395
Using Cushman Wakefield hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cushman Wakefield plc from the perspective of Cushman Wakefield response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cushman Wakefield using Cushman Wakefield's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cushman using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cushman Wakefield's stock price.

Cushman Wakefield Short Interest

An investor who is long Cushman Wakefield may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cushman Wakefield and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cushman Wakefield with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
13.5557
Short Percent
0.0465
Short Ratio
4.93
Shares Short Prior Month
7.9 M
50 Day MA
16.0686

Cushman Wakefield plc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Cushman Wakefield's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cushman. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cushman can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cushman Wakefield plc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Cushman Wakefield Implied Volatility

    
  1.02  
Cushman Wakefield's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cushman Wakefield plc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cushman Wakefield's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cushman Wakefield stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cushman Wakefield's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cushman Wakefield plc on the next trading day is expected to be 16.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.13.

Cushman Wakefield after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cushman Wakefield to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cushman contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cushman Wakefield plc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0638% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cushman Wakefield trading at USD 16.63, that is roughly USD 0.0106 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cushman Wakefield's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cushman Wakefield plc options at the current volatility level of 1.02%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cushman Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cushman Wakefield's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cushman Wakefield's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cushman Wakefield stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cushman Wakefield's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cushman Wakefield's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cushman Wakefield is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cushman. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Cushman Wakefield Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cushman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cushman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cushman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Cushman Wakefield Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Cushman Wakefield's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2016-12-31
Previous Quarter
618.2 M
Current Value
634.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
294.8 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Cushman Wakefield is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cushman Wakefield plc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cushman Wakefield Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cushman Wakefield plc on the next trading day is expected to be 16.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cushman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cushman Wakefield's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cushman Wakefield Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cushman WakefieldCushman Wakefield Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cushman Wakefield Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cushman Wakefield's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cushman Wakefield's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.98 and 18.52, respectively. We have considered Cushman Wakefield's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.63
16.25
Expected Value
18.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cushman Wakefield stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cushman Wakefield stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.3382
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3569
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0224
SAESum of the absolute errors22.1266
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cushman Wakefield plc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cushman Wakefield. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cushman Wakefield

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cushman Wakefield plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cushman Wakefield's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3816.6318.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0516.3018.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.7016.5017.29
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.7418.3920.42
Details

Cushman Wakefield After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cushman Wakefield at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cushman Wakefield or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cushman Wakefield, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cushman Wakefield Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cushman Wakefield's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cushman Wakefield's historical news coverage. Cushman Wakefield's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.38 and 18.88, respectively. We have considered Cushman Wakefield's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.63
16.63
After-hype Price
18.88
Upside
Cushman Wakefield is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cushman Wakefield plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cushman Wakefield Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cushman Wakefield is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cushman Wakefield backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cushman Wakefield, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
2.27
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.63
16.63
0.00 
22,700  
Notes

Cushman Wakefield Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of January Cushman Wakefield plc is traded for 16.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cushman is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cushman Wakefield is about 7362.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.63. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cushman Wakefield was currently reported as 8.45. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.63. Cushman Wakefield plc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cushman Wakefield to cross-verify your projections.

Cushman Wakefield Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cushman Wakefield's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cushman Wakefield's future price movements. Getting to know how Cushman Wakefield's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cushman Wakefield may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CBRECBRE Group Class(2.00)8 per month 1.30  0.02  2.63 (2.77) 7.23 
NMRKNewmark Group(0.08)3 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.42 (2.92) 9.93 
CIGIColliers International Group 0.33 3 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.48 (2.48) 8.75 
MMIMarcus Millichap(0.12)8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.06 (2.89) 9.79 
JLLJones Lang LaSalle 1.69 9 per month 1.34  0.1  3.97 (2.74) 7.53 
CSGPCoStar Group 0.33 9 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.64 (4.68) 12.39 
FSVFirstService Corp(0.62)9 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.04 (2.34) 10.53 
FRPHFrp Holdings Ord(0.09)20 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.27 (2.90) 8.28 
TCITranscontinental Realty Investors 0.61 9 per month 2.39  0.06  6.03 (4.17) 16.63 
MAYSJ W Mays(0.26)2 per month 1.90  0.01  3.87 (3.84) 16.12 
HOUSAnywhere Real Estate 0.33 24 per month 1.49  0.21  6.95 (3.45) 14.45 
RMAXRe Max Holding 0.25 10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.56 (4.11) 14.02 

Other Forecasting Options for Cushman Wakefield

For every potential investor in Cushman, whether a beginner or expert, Cushman Wakefield's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cushman Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cushman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cushman Wakefield's price trends.

Cushman Wakefield Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cushman Wakefield stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cushman Wakefield could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cushman Wakefield by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cushman Wakefield Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cushman Wakefield stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cushman Wakefield shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cushman Wakefield stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cushman Wakefield plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cushman Wakefield Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cushman Wakefield's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cushman Wakefield's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cushman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cushman Wakefield

The number of cover stories for Cushman Wakefield depends on current market conditions and Cushman Wakefield's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cushman Wakefield is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cushman Wakefield's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cushman Wakefield Short Properties

Cushman Wakefield's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cushman Wakefield's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cushman Wakefield plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cushman Wakefield's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cushman Wakefield's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding232.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments793.3 M
When determining whether Cushman Wakefield plc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Cushman Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Cushman Wakefield Plc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Cushman Wakefield Plc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cushman Wakefield to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cushman Wakefield. If investors know Cushman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cushman Wakefield listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.571
Earnings Share
0.95
Revenue Per Share
43.363
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.112
Return On Assets
0.0373
The market value of Cushman Wakefield plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cushman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cushman Wakefield's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cushman Wakefield's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cushman Wakefield's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cushman Wakefield's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cushman Wakefield's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cushman Wakefield is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cushman Wakefield's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.