Crexendo Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CXDO Stock  USD 7.45  0.05  0.67%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Crexendo on the next trading day is expected to be 7.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74. Crexendo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Crexendo's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Crexendo's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Crexendo fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Crexendo's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Crexendo's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Crexendo, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Crexendo's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
8.625
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0771
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.3483
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.355
Wall Street Target Price
8.9167
Using Crexendo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crexendo from the perspective of Crexendo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crexendo using Crexendo's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crexendo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crexendo's stock price.

Crexendo Short Interest

An investor who is long Crexendo may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Crexendo and may potentially protect profits, hedge Crexendo with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
6.0718
Short Percent
0.0244
Short Ratio
3.14
Shares Short Prior Month
447.6 K
50 Day MA
6.7534

Crexendo Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Crexendo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Crexendo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Crexendo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Crexendo. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Crexendo Implied Volatility

    
  0.84  
Crexendo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crexendo stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crexendo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crexendo stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crexendo's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Crexendo on the next trading day is expected to be 7.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74.

Crexendo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crexendo to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Crexendo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Crexendo guide.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Crexendo Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Crexendo's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Crexendo's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Crexendo stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Crexendo's open interest, investors have to compare it to Crexendo's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Crexendo is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Crexendo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Crexendo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Crexendo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crexendo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crexendo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Crexendo is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Crexendo Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Crexendo on the next trading day is expected to be 7.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crexendo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crexendo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Crexendo Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CrexendoCrexendo Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Crexendo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Crexendo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crexendo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.05 and 10.90, respectively. We have considered Crexendo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.45
7.47
Expected Value
10.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crexendo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crexendo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.727
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0275
MADMean absolute deviation0.199
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0294
SAESum of the absolute errors11.74
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Crexendo price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Crexendo. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Crexendo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crexendo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crexendo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.027.4810.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.548.0011.46
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.118.929.90
Details

Crexendo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Crexendo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crexendo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crexendo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Crexendo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Crexendo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crexendo's historical news coverage. Crexendo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.02 and 10.94, respectively. We have considered Crexendo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.45
7.48
After-hype Price
10.94
Upside
Crexendo is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crexendo is based on 3 months time horizon.

Crexendo Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crexendo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crexendo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crexendo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
3.43
  0.05 
  0.02 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.45
7.48
0.27 
2,144  
Notes

Crexendo Hype Timeline

Crexendo is currently traded for 7.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Crexendo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Crexendo is about 5119.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.47. About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Crexendo was currently reported as 2.0. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. Crexendo had 1:10 split on the 3rd of July 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crexendo to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Crexendo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Crexendo guide.

Crexendo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Crexendo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crexendo's future price movements. Getting to know how Crexendo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crexendo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RDCMRadcom(0.22)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.05 (2.72) 10.91 
ATNIATN International(0.14)9 per month 1.63  0.20  5.16 (2.90) 22.28 
SSPE W Scripps(0.24)12 per month 3.72  0.12  7.52 (6.60) 53.49 
TRVGTrivago NV 0.11 8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.23 (4.37) 11.25 
TRUETrueCar(0.03)10 per month 1.81  0  4.74 (3.48) 12.10 
UPXIUpexi Inc 0.14 11 per month 0.00 (0.20) 11.51 (11.01) 30.97 
EVCEntravision Communications 0.01 20 per month 1.40  0.14  5.93 (3.20) 48.82 
WIMIWiMi Hologram Cloud 0.03 8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 5.15 (5.94) 18.66 
STRZStarz Entertainment LLC 0.98 10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 5.61 (5.15) 17.68 
CURICuriositystream 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 5.53 (6.20) 33.31 

Other Forecasting Options for Crexendo

For every potential investor in Crexendo, whether a beginner or expert, Crexendo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crexendo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crexendo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crexendo's price trends.

Crexendo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crexendo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crexendo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crexendo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Crexendo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crexendo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crexendo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crexendo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crexendo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Crexendo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Crexendo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crexendo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crexendo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Crexendo

The number of cover stories for Crexendo depends on current market conditions and Crexendo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crexendo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crexendo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Crexendo Short Properties

Crexendo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Crexendo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crexendo often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crexendo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crexendo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.2 M
When determining whether Crexendo offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Crexendo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Crexendo Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Crexendo Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crexendo to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Crexendo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Crexendo guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crexendo. If investors know Crexendo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crexendo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
8.625
Earnings Share
0.14
Revenue Per Share
2.306
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.12
Return On Assets
0.0378
The market value of Crexendo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crexendo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crexendo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crexendo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crexendo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crexendo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crexendo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crexendo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crexendo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.