Danaos Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| DAC Stock | USD 103.20 0.80 0.78% |
Danaos Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Danaos stock prices and determine the direction of Danaos's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Danaos' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of relative strength index of Danaos' stock price is about 67 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Danaos, making its price go up or down. Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.129 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 6.805 | EPS Estimate Current Year 26.2 | EPS Estimate Next Year 25.2 | Wall Street Target Price 98 |
Using Danaos hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Danaos from the perspective of Danaos response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Danaos using Danaos' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Danaos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Danaos' stock price.
Danaos Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Danaos' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Danaos. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Danaos stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 90.1588 | Short Percent 0.0539 | Short Ratio 6.84 | Shares Short Prior Month 454.8 K | 50 Day MA 96.5624 |
Danaos Relative Strength Index
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Danaos on the next trading day is expected to be 105.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.68.Danaos Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Danaos' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Danaos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Danaos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Danaos. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Danaos' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Danaos.
Danaos Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Danaos' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Danaos stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Danaos' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Danaos stock will not fluctuate a lot when Danaos' options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Danaos on the next trading day is expected to be 105.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.68. Danaos after-hype prediction price | USD 102.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Danaos to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Danaos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Danaos will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Danaos trading at USD 103.2, that is roughly USD 0.0252 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Danaos' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Danaos options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Danaos Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Danaos' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Danaos' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Danaos stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Danaos' open interest, investors have to compare it to Danaos' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Danaos is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Danaos. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Danaos Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Danaos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Danaos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Danaos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Danaos Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Danaos on the next trading day is expected to be 105.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21, mean absolute percentage error of 2.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Danaos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Danaos' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Danaos Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Danaos | Danaos Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Danaos Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Danaos' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Danaos' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 104.06 and 106.45, respectively. We have considered Danaos' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Danaos stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Danaos stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8725 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2079 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 73.6834 |
Predictive Modules for Danaos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danaos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Danaos After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Danaos at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Danaos or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Danaos, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Danaos Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Danaos' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Danaos' historical news coverage. Danaos' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 101.25 and 103.63, respectively. We have considered Danaos' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Danaos is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Danaos is based on 3 months time horizon.
Danaos Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Danaos is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Danaos backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Danaos, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.19 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
103.20 | 102.44 | 0.04 |
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Danaos Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Danaos is traded for 103.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Danaos is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 102.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Danaos is about 10200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 103.20. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.01 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 505.07 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 722.95 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Danaos to cross-verify your projections.Danaos Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Danaos' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Danaos' future price movements. Getting to know how Danaos' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Danaos may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CMRE | Costamare | (0.13) | 11 per month | 1.15 | 0.28 | 3.17 | (2.06) | 8.57 | |
| CDLR | Cadeler AS | (0.07) | 7 per month | 2.04 | 0.12 | 5.36 | (3.41) | 10.60 | |
| NMM | Navios Maritime Partners | (0.25) | 10 per month | 1.00 | 0.21 | 2.94 | (1.98) | 7.51 | |
| ZIM | ZIM Integrated Shipping | 0.06 | 11 per month | 2.38 | 0.23 | 6.15 | (5.40) | 20.91 | |
| CMBT | CMBTECH NV | 0.38 | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.12 | 4.58 | (3.24) | 13.21 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | (0.06) | 12 per month | 1.00 | 0.20 | 2.89 | (2.24) | 12.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Danaos
For every potential investor in Danaos, whether a beginner or expert, Danaos' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Danaos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Danaos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Danaos' price trends.Danaos Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Danaos stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Danaos could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Danaos by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Danaos Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Danaos stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Danaos shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Danaos stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Danaos entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Danaos Risk Indicators
The analysis of Danaos' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Danaos' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting danaos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8635 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7132 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9326 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5086 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Danaos
The number of cover stories for Danaos depends on current market conditions and Danaos' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Danaos is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Danaos' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Danaos Short Properties
Danaos' future price predictability will typically decrease when Danaos' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Danaos often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Danaos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Danaos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 514.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Danaos to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Danaos Stock refer to our How to Trade Danaos Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Danaos. If investors know Danaos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Danaos listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.129 | Dividend Share 3.45 | Earnings Share 25.14 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 |
The market value of Danaos is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Danaos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Danaos' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Danaos' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Danaos' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Danaos' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Danaos' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Danaos is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Danaos' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.