CID HoldCo Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| DAIC Stock | 0.30 0.03 9.09% |
CID Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CID HoldCo stock prices and determine the direction of CID HoldCo Common's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of CID HoldCo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of CID HoldCo's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.49) |
Using CID HoldCo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CID HoldCo Common from the perspective of CID HoldCo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CID HoldCo Common on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.30. CID HoldCo after-hype prediction price | USD 0.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CID HoldCo to cross-verify your projections. CID HoldCo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CID price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CID using various technical indicators. When you analyze CID charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CID HoldCo Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CID HoldCo Common on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CID Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CID HoldCo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CID HoldCo Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CID HoldCo | CID HoldCo Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CID HoldCo Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CID HoldCo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CID HoldCo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 10.36, respectively. We have considered CID HoldCo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CID HoldCo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CID HoldCo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0055 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0717 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0735 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.3008 |
Predictive Modules for CID HoldCo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CID HoldCo Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CID HoldCo After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CID HoldCo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CID HoldCo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CID HoldCo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CID HoldCo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CID HoldCo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CID HoldCo's historical news coverage. CID HoldCo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 10.33, respectively. We have considered CID HoldCo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CID HoldCo is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CID HoldCo Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
CID HoldCo Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CID HoldCo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CID HoldCo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CID HoldCo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.93 | 10.09 | 0.06 | 25.81 | 5 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.30 | 0.24 | 20.00 |
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CID HoldCo Hype Timeline
CID HoldCo Common is currently traded for 0.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 25.81. CID is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -20.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -2.93%. The volatility of related hype on CID HoldCo is about 114.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.11. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.7. CID HoldCo Common had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CID HoldCo to cross-verify your projections.CID HoldCo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CID HoldCo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CID HoldCo's future price movements. Getting to know how CID HoldCo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CID HoldCo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORIQU | Origin Investment Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.88 | (1.14) | 4.07 | |
| EURK | Eureka Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.28 | (0.45) | 2.74 | |
| CPBI | Central Plains Bancshares | 0.07 | 6 per month | 1.08 | 0.05 | 1.68 | (1.19) | 6.35 | |
| AFJK | Aimei Health Technology | 78.82 | 10 per month | 12.43 | 0.13 | 60.89 | (22.49) | 1,067 | |
| RIBBU | Ribbon Acquisition Corp | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (1.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.57 | |
| RIBB | Ribbon Acquisition Corp | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.19 | (0.12) | 0.48 | (0.29) | 2.65 | |
| QUMSU | Quantumsphere Acquisition Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.45) | 0.29 | (0.29) | 0.98 | |
| OAKU | Oak Woods Acquisition | 0.1 | 7 per month | 0.64 | (0.07) | 1.08 | (1.07) | 6.66 | |
| DOMH | Dominari Holdings | 0.31 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.71 | (7.43) | 24.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for CID HoldCo
For every potential investor in CID, whether a beginner or expert, CID HoldCo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CID Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CID. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CID HoldCo's price trends.CID HoldCo Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CID HoldCo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CID HoldCo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CID HoldCo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CID HoldCo Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CID HoldCo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CID HoldCo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CID HoldCo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CID HoldCo Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 47612.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
CID HoldCo Risk Indicators
The analysis of CID HoldCo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CID HoldCo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cid stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.68 | |||
| Variance | 93.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CID HoldCo
The number of cover stories for CID HoldCo depends on current market conditions and CID HoldCo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CID HoldCo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CID HoldCo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CID HoldCo Short Properties
CID HoldCo's future price predictability will typically decrease when CID HoldCo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CID HoldCo Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CID HoldCo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CID HoldCo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 432.5 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CID HoldCo to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Will IT Consulting & Other Services sector continue expanding? Could CID diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CID HoldCo. Projected growth potential of CID fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CID HoldCo data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
CID HoldCo Common's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on CID's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate CID HoldCo's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since CID HoldCo's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CID HoldCo's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CID HoldCo should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, CID HoldCo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.