DANAHER (DAPSG) Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| DAP Stock | 178.40 3.12 1.72% |
DANAHER Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of DANAHER (DAPSG)'s share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using DANAHER (DAPSG) hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DANAHER from the perspective of DANAHER (DAPSG) response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DANAHER on the next trading day is expected to be 177.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.84. DANAHER (DAPSG) after-hype prediction price | EUR 178.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
DANAHER |
DANAHER (DAPSG) Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DANAHER price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DANAHER using various technical indicators. When you analyze DANAHER charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
DANAHER (DAPSG) Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DANAHER on the next trading day is expected to be 177.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37, mean absolute percentage error of 8.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DANAHER Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DANAHER (DAPSG)'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DANAHER (DAPSG) Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DANAHER (DAPSG) | DANAHER (DAPSG) Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
DANAHER (DAPSG) Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DANAHER (DAPSG)'s Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DANAHER (DAPSG)'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 176.17 and 179.15, respectively. We have considered DANAHER (DAPSG)'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DANAHER (DAPSG) stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DANAHER (DAPSG) stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5678 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.3702 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0122 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 139.84 |
Predictive Modules for DANAHER (DAPSG)
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DANAHER (DAPSG). Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DANAHER (DAPSG)'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DANAHER (DAPSG) After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DANAHER (DAPSG) at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DANAHER (DAPSG) or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DANAHER (DAPSG), with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DANAHER (DAPSG) Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DANAHER (DAPSG)'s stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DANAHER (DAPSG)'s historical news coverage. DANAHER (DAPSG)'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 176.86 and 179.84, respectively. We have considered DANAHER (DAPSG)'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DANAHER (DAPSG) is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DANAHER (DAPSG) is based on 3 months time horizon.
DANAHER (DAPSG) Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DANAHER (DAPSG) is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DANAHER (DAPSG) backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DANAHER (DAPSG), there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.49 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
178.40 | 178.35 | 0.03 |
|
DANAHER (DAPSG) Hype Timeline
DANAHER (DAPSG) is currently traded for 178.40on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. DANAHER is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 178.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on DANAHER (DAPSG) is about 104.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 178.27. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.99. DANAHER (DAPSG) had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DANAHER (DAPSG) to cross-verify your projections.DANAHER (DAPSG) Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DANAHER (DAPSG)'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DANAHER (DAPSG)'s future price movements. Getting to know how DANAHER (DAPSG)'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DANAHER (DAPSG) may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WED | Webster Financial | 0.99 | 9 per month | 1.48 | 0.15 | 2.90 | (2.68) | 9.12 | |
| CIN0 | COMINTL BANK ADR1 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.24 | 0.19 | 4.38 | (3.59) | 16.05 | |
| CHK | China Resources Beer | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.70 | (3.36) | 11.04 | |
| H1B | Olympia Financial Group | (0.23) | 6 per month | 1.83 | (0.01) | 3.55 | (2.78) | 11.67 | |
| NB9 | National Bank Holdings | (0.20) | 9 per month | 1.66 | 0.06 | 3.66 | (2.35) | 11.17 | |
| A4S | Ameriprise Financial | (11.76) | 8 per month | 2.13 | (0.02) | 3.02 | (3.26) | 10.09 | |
| CVU | United Breweries Co | (0.30) | 4 per month | 1.89 | 0.09 | 3.79 | (3.54) | 9.85 | |
| TSI | Tsingtao Brewery | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.47 | (1.76) | 6.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for DANAHER (DAPSG)
For every potential investor in DANAHER, whether a beginner or expert, DANAHER (DAPSG)'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DANAHER Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DANAHER. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DANAHER (DAPSG)'s price trends.DANAHER (DAPSG) Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DANAHER (DAPSG) stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DANAHER (DAPSG) could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DANAHER (DAPSG) by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DANAHER (DAPSG) Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DANAHER (DAPSG) stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DANAHER (DAPSG) shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DANAHER (DAPSG) stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DANAHER entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0259 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.66) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 180.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 179.73 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.55) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.12) |
DANAHER (DAPSG) Risk Indicators
The analysis of DANAHER (DAPSG)'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DANAHER (DAPSG)'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting danaher stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.23 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DANAHER (DAPSG)
The number of cover stories for DANAHER (DAPSG) depends on current market conditions and DANAHER (DAPSG)'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DANAHER (DAPSG) is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DANAHER (DAPSG)'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Additional Tools for DANAHER Stock Analysis
When running DANAHER (DAPSG)'s price analysis, check to measure DANAHER (DAPSG)'s market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DANAHER (DAPSG) is operating at the current time. Most of DANAHER (DAPSG)'s value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DANAHER (DAPSG)'s future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DANAHER (DAPSG)'s price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DANAHER (DAPSG) to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.