Duta Anggada Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| DART Stock | IDR 175.00 3.00 1.69% |
Duta Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Duta Anggada's share price is approaching 30 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Duta Anggada, making its price go up or down. Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Duta Anggada hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Duta Anggada Realty from the perspective of Duta Anggada response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Duta Anggada Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 180.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 509.66. Duta Anggada after-hype prediction price | IDR 175.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Duta |
Duta Anggada Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Duta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Duta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Duta Anggada Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Duta Anggada Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 180.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.22, mean absolute percentage error of 85.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 509.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Duta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Duta Anggada's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Duta Anggada Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Duta Anggada | Duta Anggada Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Duta Anggada Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Duta Anggada's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Duta Anggada's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 177.22 and 184.60, respectively. We have considered Duta Anggada's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Duta Anggada stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Duta Anggada stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.3931 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 8.2203 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0442 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 509.6566 |
Predictive Modules for Duta Anggada
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duta Anggada Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Duta Anggada After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Duta Anggada at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Duta Anggada or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Duta Anggada, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Duta Anggada Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Duta Anggada's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Duta Anggada's historical news coverage. Duta Anggada's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 171.31 and 178.69, respectively. We have considered Duta Anggada's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Duta Anggada is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Duta Anggada Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Duta Anggada Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Duta Anggada is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Duta Anggada backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Duta Anggada, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 3.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
175.00 | 175.00 | 0.00 |
|
Duta Anggada Hype Timeline
Duta Anggada Realty is currently traded for 175.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Duta is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Duta Anggada is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 175.00. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Duta Anggada Realty has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 126.81. The entity recorded a loss per share of 134.56. The firm last dividend was issued on the 10th of July 2017. Duta Anggada had 2:1 split on the 1st of August 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Duta Anggada to cross-verify your projections.Duta Anggada Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Duta Anggada's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Duta Anggada's future price movements. Getting to know how Duta Anggada's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Duta Anggada may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMAN | Makmur Berkah Amanda | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.21 | 0.20 | 10.89 | (13.01) | 29.14 | |
| NASA | Andalan Perkasa Abadi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.47 | 0.11 | 9.43 | (9.52) | 20.00 | |
| SWID | PT Saraswanti Indoland | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.51 | 0.03 | 12.31 | (7.52) | 48.50 | |
| GPRA | Perdana Gapura Prima | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.61 | (3.60) | 13.23 | |
| HOMI | Grand House Mulia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.93 | (10.08) | 35.03 | |
| RODA | Pikko Land Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.64 | 0.15 | 8.33 | (7.69) | 19.84 | |
| PUDP | Pudjiadi Prestige Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 13.44 | (14.60) | 39.42 | |
| REAL | Repower Asia Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.55 | (0.0002) | 8.06 | (10.23) | 40.15 | |
| URBN | Urban Jakarta Propertindo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.90 | (0.0005) | 7.39 | (8.50) | 32.41 | |
| EMDE | Megapolitan Developments Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.33 | (4.04) | 23.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for Duta Anggada
For every potential investor in Duta, whether a beginner or expert, Duta Anggada's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Duta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Duta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Duta Anggada's price trends.Duta Anggada Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Duta Anggada stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Duta Anggada could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Duta Anggada by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Duta Anggada Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Duta Anggada stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Duta Anggada shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Duta Anggada stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Duta Anggada Realty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10829.35 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.33) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 179.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 178.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 30.1 |
Duta Anggada Risk Indicators
The analysis of Duta Anggada's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Duta Anggada's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting duta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.55 | |||
| Variance | 12.58 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Duta Anggada
The number of cover stories for Duta Anggada depends on current market conditions and Duta Anggada's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Duta Anggada is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Duta Anggada's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Duta Anggada Short Properties
Duta Anggada's future price predictability will typically decrease when Duta Anggada's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Duta Anggada Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Duta Anggada's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duta Anggada's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 95.1 B |
Other Information on Investing in Duta Stock
Duta Anggada financial ratios help investors to determine whether Duta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Duta with respect to the benefits of owning Duta Anggada security.