ProShares Big Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DAT Etf  USD 45.71  0.05  0.11%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ProShares Big Data on the next trading day is expected to be 45.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.34. ProShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for ProShares Big works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

ProShares Big Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ProShares Big Data on the next trading day is expected to be 45.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProShares Big's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ProShares Big Etf Forecast Pattern

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ProShares Big Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ProShares Big's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ProShares Big's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.51 and 47.32, respectively. We have considered ProShares Big's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.71
45.91
Expected Value
47.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProShares Big etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProShares Big etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.058
MADMean absolute deviation0.4804
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0126
SAESum of the absolute errors28.3422
When ProShares Big Data prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any ProShares Big Data trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent ProShares Big observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for ProShares Big

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares Big Data. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.3045.7147.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.1448.0549.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.7741.6747.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ProShares Big. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ProShares Big's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ProShares Big's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ProShares Big Data.

Other Forecasting Options for ProShares Big

For every potential investor in ProShares, whether a beginner or expert, ProShares Big's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ProShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ProShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ProShares Big's price trends.

ProShares Big Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ProShares Big etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ProShares Big could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ProShares Big by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ProShares Big Data Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ProShares Big's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ProShares Big's current price.

ProShares Big Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ProShares Big etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ProShares Big shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ProShares Big etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ProShares Big Data entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ProShares Big Risk Indicators

The analysis of ProShares Big's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ProShares Big's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting proshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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When determining whether ProShares Big Data is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if ProShares Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Proshares Big Data Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Proshares Big Data Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProShares Big to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
The market value of ProShares Big Data is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Big's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Big's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Big's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Big's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Big's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Big is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Big's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.