GlobalData PLC Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| DATA Stock | 106.00 0.50 0.47% |
GlobalData Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of GlobalData PLC's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GlobalData PLC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0726 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.093 | Wall Street Target Price 205.714 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.121 |
Using GlobalData PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GlobalData PLC from the perspective of GlobalData PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of GlobalData PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 117.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 269.81. GlobalData PLC after-hype prediction price | GBX 106.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GlobalData |
GlobalData PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GlobalData price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GlobalData using various technical indicators. When you analyze GlobalData charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GlobalData PLC Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of GlobalData PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 117.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.35, mean absolute percentage error of 28.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 269.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GlobalData Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GlobalData PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GlobalData PLC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GlobalData PLC | GlobalData PLC Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
GlobalData PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GlobalData PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GlobalData PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 114.59 and 119.78, respectively. We have considered GlobalData PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GlobalData PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GlobalData PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.3154 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.3518 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0391 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 269.8092 |
Predictive Modules for GlobalData PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GlobalData PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GlobalData PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GlobalData PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GlobalData PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GlobalData PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GlobalData PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GlobalData PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GlobalData PLC's historical news coverage. GlobalData PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 103.90 and 109.10, respectively. We have considered GlobalData PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GlobalData PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GlobalData PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
GlobalData PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GlobalData PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GlobalData PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GlobalData PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.60 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
106.00 | 106.50 | 0.00 |
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GlobalData PLC Hype Timeline
GlobalData PLC is currently traded for 106.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. GlobalData is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on GlobalData PLC is about 1096.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 106.00. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of GlobalData PLC was currently reported as 0.47. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of September 2025. GlobalData PLC had 100:14 split on the 26th of July 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GlobalData PLC to cross-verify your projections.GlobalData PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GlobalData PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GlobalData PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how GlobalData PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GlobalData PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IPX | Impax Asset Management | (12.80) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.30 | (3.69) | 13.65 | |
| JD | JD Sports Fashion | 3.20 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.55 | (4.39) | 10.11 | |
| 0A2Z | Tencent Music Entertainment | 0.41 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.29 | (3.97) | 8.50 | |
| 0L9Y | STMicroelectronics NV | (0.08) | 3 per month | 1.69 | 0.07 | 3.62 | (2.60) | 8.66 | |
| 0UMG | Universal Music Group | 0.62 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.75 | (2.21) | 10.35 | |
| LIO | Liontrust Asset Management | 6.50 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.50 | (3.23) | 10.18 | |
| 0LTG | Waste Management | 0.49 | 8 per month | 1.64 | 0.01 | 1.83 | (1.98) | 4.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for GlobalData PLC
For every potential investor in GlobalData, whether a beginner or expert, GlobalData PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GlobalData Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GlobalData. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GlobalData PLC's price trends.GlobalData PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GlobalData PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GlobalData PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GlobalData PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GlobalData PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GlobalData PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GlobalData PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GlobalData PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GlobalData PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 33451.74 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.16) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 106.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 106.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.50) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.2 |
GlobalData PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of GlobalData PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GlobalData PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting globaldata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Variance | 6.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GlobalData PLC
The number of cover stories for GlobalData PLC depends on current market conditions and GlobalData PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GlobalData PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GlobalData PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GlobalData PLC Short Properties
GlobalData PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when GlobalData PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GlobalData PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GlobalData PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GlobalData PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 799.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.5 M |
Additional Tools for GlobalData Stock Analysis
When running GlobalData PLC's price analysis, check to measure GlobalData PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GlobalData PLC is operating at the current time. Most of GlobalData PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GlobalData PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GlobalData PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GlobalData PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.