Diversified Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DEC Stock | 1,278 7.00 0.55% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1,278 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,037. Diversified Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Diversified Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Diversified Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Diversified Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Diversified |
Diversified Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1,278 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.28, mean absolute percentage error of 567.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,037.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diversified Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diversified Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Diversified Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
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Diversified Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Diversified Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diversified Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,276 and 1,280, respectively. We have considered Diversified Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diversified Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diversified Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.6136 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -6.4667 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 17.2833 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0179 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1037.0 |
Predictive Modules for Diversified Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diversified Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Diversified Energy
For every potential investor in Diversified, whether a beginner or expert, Diversified Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diversified Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diversified. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diversified Energy's price trends.Diversified Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diversified Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diversified Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diversified Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Diversified Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Diversified Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Diversified Energy's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Diversified Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diversified Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diversified Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diversified Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diversified Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12492.89 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0972 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1264.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1268.67 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 17.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 7.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 77.87 |
Diversified Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Diversified Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diversified Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diversified stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Variance | 5.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Diversified Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Diversified Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Diversified Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Diversified Energy Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diversified Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Diversified Stock refer to our How to Trade Diversified Stock guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.