Denali Capital Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

DECAU Stock  USD 11.60  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Denali Capital Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 11.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35. Denali Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 0.68 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 8.3 M in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Denali Capital's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
204.5 K
Current Value
194.2 K
Quarterly Volatility
218.3 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Denali Capital is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Denali Capital Acquisition value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Denali Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Denali Capital Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 11.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000097, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Denali Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Denali Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Denali Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Denali Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Denali Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Denali Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.55 and 11.70, respectively. We have considered Denali Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.60
11.63
Expected Value
11.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Denali Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Denali Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.8649
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0058
MAPEMean absolute percentage error5.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3522
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Denali Capital Acquisition. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Denali Capital. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Denali Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Denali Capital Acqui. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5211.6011.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9211.0012.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Denali Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Denali Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Denali Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Denali Capital Acqui.

Other Forecasting Options for Denali Capital

For every potential investor in Denali, whether a beginner or expert, Denali Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Denali Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Denali. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Denali Capital's price trends.

Denali Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Denali Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Denali Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Denali Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Denali Capital Acqui Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Denali Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Denali Capital's current price.

Denali Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Denali Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Denali Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Denali Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Denali Capital Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Denali Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Denali Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Denali Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting denali stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Denali Stock Analysis

When running Denali Capital's price analysis, check to measure Denali Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Denali Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Denali Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Denali Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Denali Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Denali Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.