BerolinaCapital Premium Fund Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DEDL Fund | EUR 100.87 0.36 0.36% |
BerolinaCapital Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of BerolinaCapital Premium's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 20th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of BerolinaCapital Premium's share price is approaching 41 suggesting that the fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BerolinaCapital Premium, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BerolinaCapital Premium hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BerolinaCapital Premium from the perspective of BerolinaCapital Premium response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BerolinaCapital Premium on the next trading day is expected to be 100.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.02. BerolinaCapital Premium after-hype prediction price | EUR 100.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BerolinaCapital |
BerolinaCapital Premium Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BerolinaCapital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BerolinaCapital using various technical indicators. When you analyze BerolinaCapital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BerolinaCapital Premium Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BerolinaCapital Premium on the next trading day is expected to be 100.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BerolinaCapital Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BerolinaCapital Premium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BerolinaCapital Premium Fund Forecast Pattern
BerolinaCapital Premium Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BerolinaCapital Premium's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BerolinaCapital Premium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 99.88 and 101.69, respectively. We have considered BerolinaCapital Premium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BerolinaCapital Premium fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BerolinaCapital Premium fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7505 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1044 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6232 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0063 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.0162 |
Predictive Modules for BerolinaCapital Premium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BerolinaCapital Premium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BerolinaCapital Premium Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of BerolinaCapital Premium at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BerolinaCapital Premium or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of BerolinaCapital Premium, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BerolinaCapital Premium Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as BerolinaCapital Premium is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BerolinaCapital Premium backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BerolinaCapital Premium, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.90 | 0.08 | 30.98 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
100.87 | 100.60 | 0.09 |
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BerolinaCapital Premium Hype Timeline
BerolinaCapital Premium is currently traded for 100.87on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -30.98. BerolinaCapital is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 100.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 90.0%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on BerolinaCapital Premium is about 0.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.89. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out fundamental analysis of BerolinaCapital Premium to check your projections.BerolinaCapital Premium Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BerolinaCapital Premium's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BerolinaCapital Premium's future price movements. Getting to know how BerolinaCapital Premium's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BerolinaCapital Premium may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0P00017QSQ | Esfera Robotics R | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.38 | (2.25) | 4.20 | |
| 0P00017SX2 | R co Valor F | (3,485) | 8 per month | 0.71 | (0.08) | 0.92 | (1.38) | 3.19 | |
| 0P0001F96C | CM AM Monplus NE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (7.85) | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.03 | |
| 0P0000MZYR | IE00B0H4TS55 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 0.25 | (0.19) | 0.56 | |
| XE67 | Nordea 1 SICAV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HJUI | DWS Aktien Strategie | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.03 | 1.44 | (1.65) | 4.43 | |
| 0P0000VQ56 | Impact ISR Performance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.54 | 0.04 | 1.15 | (0.91) | 4.05 | |
| 0P00008W6M | Amundi Label Actions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | 0.05 | 1.18 | (0.88) | 2.81 | |
| 0P0001NBQF | ALM ES Actions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.16 | (1.14) | 3.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for BerolinaCapital Premium
For every potential investor in BerolinaCapital, whether a beginner or expert, BerolinaCapital Premium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BerolinaCapital Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BerolinaCapital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BerolinaCapital Premium's price trends.BerolinaCapital Premium Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BerolinaCapital Premium fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BerolinaCapital Premium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BerolinaCapital Premium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BerolinaCapital Premium Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BerolinaCapital Premium fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BerolinaCapital Premium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BerolinaCapital Premium fund market strength indicators, traders can identify BerolinaCapital Premium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BerolinaCapital Premium Risk Indicators
The analysis of BerolinaCapital Premium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BerolinaCapital Premium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting berolinacapital fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.718 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BerolinaCapital Premium
The number of cover stories for BerolinaCapital Premium depends on current market conditions and BerolinaCapital Premium's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BerolinaCapital Premium is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BerolinaCapital Premium's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Other Information on Investing in BerolinaCapital Fund
BerolinaCapital Premium financial ratios help investors to determine whether BerolinaCapital Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BerolinaCapital with respect to the benefits of owning BerolinaCapital Premium security.
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