Douglas Emmett Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| DEI Stock | USD 10.11 0.23 2.33% |
Douglas Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Douglas Emmett's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Douglas Emmett's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Douglas Emmett hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Douglas Emmett from the perspective of Douglas Emmett response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Douglas Emmett on the next trading day is expected to be 10.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.91. Douglas Emmett after-hype prediction price | USD 10.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Douglas Emmett to cross-verify your projections. Douglas Emmett Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Douglas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Douglas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Douglas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Douglas Emmett Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Douglas Emmett on the next trading day is expected to be 10.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Douglas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Douglas Emmett's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Douglas Emmett Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Douglas Emmett | Douglas Emmett Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Douglas Emmett Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Douglas Emmett's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Douglas Emmett's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.57 and 11.65, respectively. We have considered Douglas Emmett's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Douglas Emmett stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Douglas Emmett stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.939 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0336 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1341 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0122 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.91 |
Predictive Modules for Douglas Emmett
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Douglas Emmett. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Douglas Emmett's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Douglas Emmett After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Douglas Emmett at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Douglas Emmett or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Douglas Emmett, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Douglas Emmett Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Douglas Emmett's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Douglas Emmett's historical news coverage. Douglas Emmett's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.53 and 11.61, respectively. We have considered Douglas Emmett's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Douglas Emmett is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Douglas Emmett is based on 3 months time horizon.
Douglas Emmett Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Douglas Emmett is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Douglas Emmett backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Douglas Emmett, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.11 | 10.07 | 0.40 |
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Douglas Emmett Hype Timeline
On the 14th of February 2026 Douglas Emmett is traded for 10.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Douglas is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Douglas Emmett is about 53900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.11. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.87. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Douglas Emmett last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Douglas Emmett to cross-verify your projections.Douglas Emmett Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Douglas Emmett's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Douglas Emmett's future price movements. Getting to know how Douglas Emmett's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Douglas Emmett may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ESRT | Empire State Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.81 | (2.96) | 10.07 | |
| NSA | National Storage Affiliates | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.14 | 2.57 | (1.99) | 8.34 | |
| IVT | Inventrust Properties Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.59 | 0.12 | 1.79 | (1.17) | 3.99 | |
| DBRG | Digitalbridge Group | 0.00 | 11 per month | 1.32 | 0.1 | 3.79 | (3.38) | 51.16 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.17 | 2.02 | (1.56) | 5.27 | |
| CURB | Curbline Properties Corp | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.53 | 0.11 | 2.34 | (1.28) | 4.06 | |
| CXW | CoreCivic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.68 | 0.06 | 2.99 | (3.31) | 11.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Douglas Emmett
For every potential investor in Douglas, whether a beginner or expert, Douglas Emmett's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Douglas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Douglas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Douglas Emmett's price trends.Douglas Emmett Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Douglas Emmett stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Douglas Emmett could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Douglas Emmett by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Douglas Emmett Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Douglas Emmett stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Douglas Emmett shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Douglas Emmett stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Douglas Emmett entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Douglas Emmett Risk Indicators
The analysis of Douglas Emmett's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Douglas Emmett's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting douglas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Douglas Emmett
The number of cover stories for Douglas Emmett depends on current market conditions and Douglas Emmett's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Douglas Emmett is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Douglas Emmett's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Douglas Emmett to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Douglas Stock please use our How to Invest in Douglas Emmett guide.You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is there potential for Diversified REITs market expansion? Will Douglas introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Douglas Emmett. Projected growth potential of Douglas fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Douglas Emmett listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Investors evaluate Douglas Emmett using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Douglas Emmett's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Douglas Emmett's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Douglas Emmett's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Douglas Emmett should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Douglas Emmett's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.