Delhivery Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

DELHIVERY   345.85  0.50  0.14%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Delhivery Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 339.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 582.64. Delhivery Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Delhivery stock prices and determine the direction of Delhivery Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Delhivery's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Delhivery's Cash is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 2 B, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 8.9 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Delhivery is based on an artificially constructed time series of Delhivery daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Delhivery 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Delhivery Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 339.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.99, mean absolute percentage error of 186.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 582.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Delhivery Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Delhivery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Delhivery Stock Forecast Pattern

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Delhivery Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Delhivery's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Delhivery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 337.93 and 340.74, respectively. We have considered Delhivery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
345.85
337.93
Downside
339.34
Expected Value
340.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Delhivery stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Delhivery stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.6361
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 6.1855
MADMean absolute deviation10.9933
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0291
SAESum of the absolute errors582.6438
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Delhivery Limited 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Delhivery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delhivery Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
344.45345.85347.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
268.36269.76380.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
345.55346.02346.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.291.291.29
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Delhivery

For every potential investor in Delhivery, whether a beginner or expert, Delhivery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Delhivery Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Delhivery. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Delhivery's price trends.

Delhivery Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Delhivery stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Delhivery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Delhivery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Delhivery Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Delhivery's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Delhivery's current price.

Delhivery Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Delhivery stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Delhivery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Delhivery stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Delhivery Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Delhivery Risk Indicators

The analysis of Delhivery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Delhivery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting delhivery stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Delhivery Stock

Delhivery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delhivery Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delhivery with respect to the benefits of owning Delhivery security.