Continental Small Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

Continental Small Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Continental price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Continental using various technical indicators. When you analyze Continental charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Continental Small is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Continental Small Pany value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Continental Small Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Continental Small Pany on the next trading day is expected to be 39.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.63.

Continental Small Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Continental Small Price Prediction

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Continental Small Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Continental Small mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Continental Small mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Continental Small Pany. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Continental Small. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Continental Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Continental Small Pany. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 39.19 39.90 40.61 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 35.92 43.50 44.21 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 36.59 38.36 40.12 Details

Continental Small After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Continental Small Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Continental Small Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Continental Small Hype Timeline

Continental Small Pany is currently traded for 40.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.07. Continental is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Continental Small is about 105.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.16. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Continental Small to cross-verify your projections.

Continental Small Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Continental Small

For every potential investor in Continental, whether a beginner or expert, Continental Small's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Continental Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Continental. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Continental Small's price trends.

Continental Small Related Equities

Risk & Return

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Continental Small Market Strength Events

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Story Coverage note for Continental Small

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Other Information on Investing in Continental Mutual Fund