DISTRICT METALS Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

DFPP Stock  EUR 0.24  0.01  4.35%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of DISTRICT METALS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.67. DISTRICT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DISTRICT METALS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for DISTRICT METALS is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

DISTRICT METALS 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of DISTRICT METALS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DISTRICT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DISTRICT METALS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DISTRICT METALS Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest DISTRICT METALSDISTRICT METALS Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

DISTRICT METALS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DISTRICT METALS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DISTRICT METALS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.18, respectively. We have considered DISTRICT METALS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.24
0.23
Expected Value
5.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DISTRICT METALS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DISTRICT METALS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.4969
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0027
MADMean absolute deviation0.0118
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0497
SAESum of the absolute errors0.67
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of DISTRICT METALS. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for DISTRICT METALS and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for DISTRICT METALS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DISTRICT METALS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.245.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.195.13
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DISTRICT METALS

For every potential investor in DISTRICT, whether a beginner or expert, DISTRICT METALS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DISTRICT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DISTRICT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DISTRICT METALS's price trends.

DISTRICT METALS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DISTRICT METALS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DISTRICT METALS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DISTRICT METALS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DISTRICT METALS Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DISTRICT METALS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DISTRICT METALS's current price.

DISTRICT METALS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DISTRICT METALS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DISTRICT METALS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DISTRICT METALS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DISTRICT METALS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DISTRICT METALS Risk Indicators

The analysis of DISTRICT METALS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DISTRICT METALS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting district stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in DISTRICT Stock

DISTRICT METALS financial ratios help investors to determine whether DISTRICT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DISTRICT with respect to the benefits of owning DISTRICT METALS security.