Discover Financial Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| DFSDelisted Stock | USD 200.05 0.50 0.25% |
Discover Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Discover Financial's share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Discover Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Discover Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Discover Financial Services from the perspective of Discover Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Discover Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 207.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 356.22. Discover Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 200.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Discover |
Discover Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Discover price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Discover using various technical indicators. When you analyze Discover charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Discover Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Discover Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 207.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.84, mean absolute percentage error of 51.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 356.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Discover Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Discover Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Discover Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Discover Financial | Discover Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Discover Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Discover Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.0531 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.8396 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0344 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 356.2152 |
Predictive Modules for Discover Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Discover Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Discover Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Discover Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Discover Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Discover Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Discover Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Discover Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Discover Financial's historical news coverage. Discover Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 200.05 and 200.05, respectively. We have considered Discover Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Discover Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Discover Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Discover Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Discover Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Discover Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Discover Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
200.05 | 200.05 | 0.00 |
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Discover Financial Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Discover Financial is traded for 200.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Discover is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Discover Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 200.05. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Discover Financial was currently reported as 71.16. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 18.72. Discover Financial last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2025. The entity had 1:5 split on the January 31, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.Discover Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Discover Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Discover Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Discover Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Discover Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AEB | Aegon NV PERP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| C | Citigroup | 0.24 | 7 per month | 1.52 | 0.12 | 2.81 | (2.24) | 8.93 | |
| AED | Aegon NV PERP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AEH | Aegon NV PRP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GS | Goldman Sachs Group | 0.37 | 6 per month | 1.35 | 0.14 | 3.54 | (1.94) | 8.38 | |
| KKR | KKR Co LP | (5.45) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.72 | (3.67) | 10.88 | |
| LCID | Lucid Group | 0.28 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.28 | (7.29) | 21.68 | |
| OBDC | Blue Owl Capital | (0.26) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.93 | (1.69) | 6.93 | |
| ALL | The Allstate | 2.69 | 9 per month | 1.36 | (0) | 2.10 | (1.99) | 8.07 |
Discover Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Discover Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Discover Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Discover Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Discover Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Discover Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Discover Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Discover Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Discover Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Discover Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Discover Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Discover Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting discover stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.82 | |||
| Variance | 14.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.9 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Discover Financial
The number of cover stories for Discover Financial depends on current market conditions and Discover Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Discover Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Discover Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Discover Financial Short Properties
Discover Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Discover Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Discover Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Discover Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Discover Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 251 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.2 B |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Other Consideration for investing in Discover Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Discover Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Discover Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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