JIAHUA STORES Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

DG9 Stock  EUR 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JIAHUA STORES on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. JIAHUA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JIAHUA STORES stock prices and determine the direction of JIAHUA STORES's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JIAHUA STORES's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for JIAHUA STORES - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When JIAHUA STORES prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in JIAHUA STORES price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of JIAHUA STORES.

JIAHUA STORES Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JIAHUA STORES on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JIAHUA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JIAHUA STORES's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JIAHUA STORES Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest JIAHUA STORESJIAHUA STORES Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

JIAHUA STORES Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JIAHUA STORES's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JIAHUA STORES's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 0.02, respectively. We have considered JIAHUA STORES's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.02
Expected Value
0.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JIAHUA STORES stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JIAHUA STORES stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past JIAHUA STORES observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older JIAHUA STORES observations.

Predictive Modules for JIAHUA STORES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JIAHUA STORES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.020.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for JIAHUA STORES

For every potential investor in JIAHUA, whether a beginner or expert, JIAHUA STORES's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JIAHUA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JIAHUA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JIAHUA STORES's price trends.

JIAHUA STORES Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JIAHUA STORES stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JIAHUA STORES could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JIAHUA STORES by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JIAHUA STORES Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JIAHUA STORES's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JIAHUA STORES's current price.

JIAHUA STORES Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JIAHUA STORES stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JIAHUA STORES shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JIAHUA STORES stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JIAHUA STORES entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in JIAHUA Stock

JIAHUA STORES financial ratios help investors to determine whether JIAHUA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JIAHUA with respect to the benefits of owning JIAHUA STORES security.