Destinations Equity Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

DGEFX Fund  USD 14.15  0.02  0.14%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Destinations Equity Income on the next trading day is expected to be 14.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.44. Destinations Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Destinations Equity's share price is below 20 suggesting that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Destinations Equity's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Destinations Equity Income, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Destinations Equity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Destinations Equity Income from the perspective of Destinations Equity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Destinations Equity Income on the next trading day is expected to be 14.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.44.

Destinations Equity after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Destinations Equity to cross-verify your projections.

Destinations Equity Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Destinations price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Destinations using various technical indicators. When you analyze Destinations charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Destinations Equity simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Destinations Equity Income are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Destinations Equity prices get older.

Destinations Equity Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Destinations Equity Income on the next trading day is expected to be 14.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Destinations Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Destinations Equity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Destinations Equity Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Destinations EquityDestinations Equity Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Destinations Equity Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Destinations Equity's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Destinations Equity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.07 and 15.23, respectively. We have considered Destinations Equity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.15
14.15
Expected Value
15.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Destinations Equity mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Destinations Equity mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3407
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0273
MADMean absolute deviation0.074
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0056
SAESum of the absolute errors4.44
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Destinations Equity Income forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Destinations Equity observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Destinations Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Destinations Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7219.4720.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4714.5615.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.3513.5114.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Destinations Equity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Destinations Equity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Destinations Equity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Destinations Equity.

Destinations Equity After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Destinations Equity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Destinations Equity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Destinations Equity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Destinations Equity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Destinations Equity's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Destinations Equity's historical news coverage. Destinations Equity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.72 and 20.56, respectively. We have considered Destinations Equity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.15
19.47
After-hype Price
20.56
Upside
Destinations Equity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Destinations Equity is based on 3 months time horizon.

Destinations Equity Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Destinations Equity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Destinations Equity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Destinations Equity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
1.08
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.15
19.47
37.79 
0.00  
Notes

Destinations Equity Hype Timeline

Destinations Equity is currently traded for 14.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Destinations is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.47 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 37.79%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Destinations Equity is about 8100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.15. Debt can assist Destinations Equity until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Destinations Equity's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Destinations Equity sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Destinations to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Destinations Equity's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Destinations Equity to cross-verify your projections.

Destinations Equity Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Destinations Equity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Destinations Equity's future price movements. Getting to know how Destinations Equity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Destinations Equity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Destinations Equity

For every potential investor in Destinations, whether a beginner or expert, Destinations Equity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Destinations Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Destinations. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Destinations Equity's price trends.

Destinations Equity Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Destinations Equity mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Destinations Equity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Destinations Equity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Destinations Equity Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Destinations Equity mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Destinations Equity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Destinations Equity mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Destinations Equity Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Destinations Equity Risk Indicators

The analysis of Destinations Equity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Destinations Equity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting destinations mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Destinations Equity

The number of cover stories for Destinations Equity depends on current market conditions and Destinations Equity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Destinations Equity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Destinations Equity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Destinations Mutual Fund

Destinations Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Destinations Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Destinations with respect to the benefits of owning Destinations Equity security.
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format