Global Stock Mutual Fund Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| DGLAX Fund | USD 16.94 0.12 0.70% |
Global Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Global Stock's mutual fund price is slightly above 67 suggesting that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Global, making its price go up or down. Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Global Stock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Stock Fund from the perspective of Global Stock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Global Stock Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 15.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.41. Global Stock after-hype prediction price | USD 12.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Global |
Global Stock Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Global Stock Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Global Stock Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 15.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global Stock's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Global Stock Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Global Stock | Global Stock Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Global Stock Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Global Stock's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global Stock's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.72 and 20.74, respectively. We have considered Global Stock's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global Stock mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global Stock mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7956 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6297 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0436 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.4122 |
Predictive Modules for Global Stock
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Global Stock After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Stock at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Stock or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Global Stock, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Stock Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Stock's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Stock's historical news coverage. Global Stock's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.11 and 17.13, respectively. We have considered Global Stock's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Stock is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Stock is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Stock Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Global Stock is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Stock backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Stock, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 5.01 | 4.82 | 7.70 | 17 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 17 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.94 | 12.12 | 28.45 |
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Global Stock Hype Timeline
Global Stock is currently traded for 16.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -4.82, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -7.7. Global is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 72.82%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -28.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.7%. The volatility of related hype on Global Stock is about 45.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.24. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 17 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Stock to cross-verify your projections.Global Stock Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Stock's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Stock's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Stock's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Stock may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DGLRX | Global Stock Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.31 | (1.22) | 38.51 | |
| DGLCX | Global Stock Fund | (4.62) | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.29 | (1.20) | 49.44 | |
| SGLYX | Simt Global Managed | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.84 | (0.62) | 9.22 | |
| PORIX | Portfolio 21 Global | (40.14) | 7 per month | 0.21 | 0.12 | 1.10 | (1.08) | 19.12 | |
| PORTX | Portfolio 21 Global | 0.60 | 1 per month | 0.65 | (0.03) | 1.08 | (1.09) | 3.15 | |
| VLAAX | Value Line Asset | (0.13) | 1 per month | 0.37 | 0.03 | 0.75 | (0.93) | 13.05 | |
| FAMEX | Fam Equity Income Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | (0.03) | 1.35 | (1.06) | 4.14 | |
| IGLGX | Columbia Select Global | 0.07 | 5 per month | 0.82 | 0.10 | 1.67 | (1.67) | 11.75 | |
| HGHAX | The Hartford Healthcare | 0.02 | 12 per month | 0.56 | 0.06 | 1.91 | (1.03) | 3.94 | |
| GCEQX | Green Century Equity | (65.88) | 11 per month | 0.95 | (0.06) | 1.12 | (1.57) | 4.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Global Stock
For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global Stock's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global Stock's price trends.Global Stock Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global Stock mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global Stock could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Stock by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Global Stock Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global Stock mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global Stock shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global Stock mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Global Stock Fund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.94 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 67.94 |
Global Stock Risk Indicators
The analysis of Global Stock's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Global Stock's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting global mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.79 | |||
| Variance | 22.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6647 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.23) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Global Stock
The number of cover stories for Global Stock depends on current market conditions and Global Stock's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Stock is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Stock's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund
Global Stock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Stock security.
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