DB Gold ETF Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| DGP ETF | USD 184.67 0.69 0.38% |
DB Gold's 20 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects DB Gold at 182.14 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. The 20 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts DB Gold at 182.14 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 16.08 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.09 , and sum of absolute errors of 659.17 .This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in DB Gold's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
ETF Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
The projected range for DB Gold reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. Downside is estimated near 178.12 and upside near 186.15. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for DB Gold ETF. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 87.6554 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 11.3459 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 16.0772 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0932 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 659.166 |
Other Forecasting Options for DB Gold
Analyzing DB Gold's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in DB Gold's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.DB Gold Comparable Funds
The instruments listed below are comparable funds for DB Gold and provide a practical reference set. Peer review is strongest when it focuses on NAV trend, discount or premium to NAV, yield, and fee burden. Differences across peer funds often reflect mandate, region, income policy, or leverage choices.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DB Gold Market Strength Events
For investors tracking DB Gold Double, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of ETF behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in DB Gold.
DB Gold Risk Indicators
Analyzing DB Gold's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for dgp etf. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for DB Gold.
| Mean Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.2 | |||
| Variance | 17.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.