CoinShares Altcoins Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| DIME Etf | 10.77 0.79 6.83% |
CoinShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CoinShares Altcoins stock prices and determine the direction of CoinShares Altcoins ETF's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CoinShares Altcoins' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of CoinShares Altcoins' share price is approaching 38 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CoinShares Altcoins, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CoinShares Altcoins hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CoinShares Altcoins ETF from the perspective of CoinShares Altcoins response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CoinShares Altcoins ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 10.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.52. CoinShares Altcoins after-hype prediction price | USD 12.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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CoinShares Altcoins Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CoinShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CoinShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze CoinShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CoinShares Altcoins Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CoinShares Altcoins ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 10.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 1.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CoinShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CoinShares Altcoins' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CoinShares Altcoins Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CoinShares Altcoins | CoinShares Altcoins Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CoinShares Altcoins Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CoinShares Altcoins' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CoinShares Altcoins' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.73 and 16.64, respectively. We have considered CoinShares Altcoins' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CoinShares Altcoins etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CoinShares Altcoins etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1291 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6698 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0472 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.5205 |
Predictive Modules for CoinShares Altcoins
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CoinShares Altcoins ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CoinShares Altcoins After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CoinShares Altcoins at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CoinShares Altcoins or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of CoinShares Altcoins, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CoinShares Altcoins Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CoinShares Altcoins' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CoinShares Altcoins' historical news coverage. CoinShares Altcoins' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.09 and 18.01, respectively. We have considered CoinShares Altcoins' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CoinShares Altcoins is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CoinShares Altcoins ETF is based on 3 months time horizon.
CoinShares Altcoins Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as CoinShares Altcoins is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CoinShares Altcoins backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CoinShares Altcoins, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 5.96 | 0.49 | 0.09 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.77 | 12.05 | 4.24 |
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CoinShares Altcoins Hype Timeline
CoinShares Altcoins ETF is currently traded for 10.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.49, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. CoinShares is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 4.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.61%. The volatility of related hype on CoinShares Altcoins is about 4182.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.86. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CoinShares Altcoins to cross-verify your projections.CoinShares Altcoins Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CoinShares Altcoins' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CoinShares Altcoins' future price movements. Getting to know how CoinShares Altcoins' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CoinShares Altcoins may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DOJE | DOJE | 0.43 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.07 | (8.51) | 30.30 | |
| MNRS | Grayscale Funds Trust | 1.99 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.29 | (6.90) | 23.19 | |
| VSOL | VanEck Solana ETF | (0.94) | 4 per month | 4.47 | (0.01) | 8.90 | (6.05) | 23.14 | |
| EETH | ProShares Trust | 1.15 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.45 | (7.88) | 17.91 | |
| NCIQ | Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto | (0.40) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.84 | (4.99) | 14.26 | |
| NEHI | NEOS Ethereum High | (1.12) | 4 per month | 2.88 | (0.02) | 4.71 | (4.23) | 13.64 | |
| ETCO | Grayscale Ethereum Covered | 0.20 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.45 | (6.93) | 16.24 | |
| ETHA | iShares Ethereum Trust | (0.17) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.41 | (7.73) | 17.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for CoinShares Altcoins
For every potential investor in CoinShares, whether a beginner or expert, CoinShares Altcoins' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CoinShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CoinShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CoinShares Altcoins' price trends.CoinShares Altcoins Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CoinShares Altcoins etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CoinShares Altcoins could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CoinShares Altcoins by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CoinShares Altcoins Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CoinShares Altcoins etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CoinShares Altcoins shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CoinShares Altcoins etf market strength indicators, traders can identify CoinShares Altcoins ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.40) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.79) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 38.21 |
CoinShares Altcoins Risk Indicators
The analysis of CoinShares Altcoins' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CoinShares Altcoins' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coinshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.86 | |||
| Variance | 34.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CoinShares Altcoins
The number of cover stories for CoinShares Altcoins depends on current market conditions and CoinShares Altcoins' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CoinShares Altcoins is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CoinShares Altcoins' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CoinShares Altcoins to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
CoinShares Altcoins ETF's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on CoinShares's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate CoinShares Altcoins' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since CoinShares Altcoins' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CoinShares Altcoins' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CoinShares Altcoins should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, CoinShares Altcoins' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.