Franklin International Etf Forward View - Simple Regression
| DIVI Etf | USD 41.30 0.20 0.49% |
Franklin Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Franklin International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Franklin International's etf price is under 66 suggesting that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Franklin International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin International Core from the perspective of Franklin International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Franklin International using Franklin International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Franklin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Franklin International's stock price.
Franklin International Implied Volatility | 0.24 |
Franklin International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Franklin International Core stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Franklin International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Franklin International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Franklin International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Franklin International Core on the next trading day is expected to be 41.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.40. Franklin International after-hype prediction price | USD 41.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Franklin | Build AI portfolio with Franklin Etf |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Franklin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Franklin International Core will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.015% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Franklin International trading at USD 41.3, that is roughly USD 0.006195 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Franklin International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Franklin International Core options at the current volatility level of 0.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Franklin Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Franklin International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Franklin International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Franklin International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Franklin International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Franklin International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Franklin International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Franklin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Franklin International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Franklin International Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Franklin International Core on the next trading day is expected to be 41.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Franklin International Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Franklin International | Franklin International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Franklin International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Franklin International's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.40 and 41.80, respectively. We have considered Franklin International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin International etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin International etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4811 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3345 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0087 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.4038 |
Predictive Modules for Franklin International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Franklin International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Franklin International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Franklin International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Franklin International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Franklin International's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin International's historical news coverage. Franklin International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.57 and 41.97, respectively. We have considered Franklin International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Franklin International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Franklin International Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Franklin International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 0.70 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
41.30 | 41.27 | 0.07 |
|
Franklin International Hype Timeline
Franklin International is currently traded for 41.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Franklin is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 41.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Franklin International is about 833.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.32. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Franklin International had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin International to cross-verify your projections.Franklin International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin International's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IXC | iShares Global Energy | 0.43 | 2 per month | 0.84 | 0.17 | 2.11 | (1.24) | 4.80 | |
| HEDJ | WisdomTree Europe Hedged | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.82 | 0.02 | 1.05 | (1.21) | 4.63 | |
| DES | WisdomTree SmallCap Dividend | (0.25) | 10 per month | 0.76 | 0.06 | 2.34 | (1.60) | 5.22 | |
| ESML | iShares ESG Aware | (0.17) | 3 per month | 0.86 | 0.03 | 1.67 | (1.55) | 4.10 | |
| HDEF | Xtrackers MSCI EAFE | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.34 | 0.10 | 1.45 | (0.77) | 2.76 | |
| IPAC | iShares Core MSCI | 0.34 | 4 per month | 0.73 | 0.06 | 1.32 | (1.38) | 3.53 | |
| REGL | ProShares SP MidCap | (0.36) | 3 per month | 0.52 | 0.05 | 1.64 | (1.10) | 3.19 | |
| AVSC | American Century ETF | 0.28 | 3 per month | 0.81 | 0.06 | 1.81 | (1.58) | 4.97 | |
| IYG | iShares Financial Services | 0.41 | 1 per month | 0.95 | (0.02) | 1.38 | (1.66) | 4.81 | |
| EPP | iShares MSCI Pacific | 0.07 | 2 per month | 0.76 | 0.04 | 1.23 | (1.40) | 3.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for Franklin International
For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin International's price trends.Franklin International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin International etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Franklin International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin International etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin International etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin International Core entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Franklin International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Franklin International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5602 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5034 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6922 | |||
| Variance | 0.4792 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5039 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2534 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Franklin International
The number of cover stories for Franklin International depends on current market conditions and Franklin International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin International to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Understanding Franklin International requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Franklin's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Franklin International's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Franklin International's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Franklin International's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Franklin International should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Franklin International's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.