Amplify CWP Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DIVO Etf | USD 45.63 0.05 0.11% |
Amplify Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of Amplify CWP's share price is at 53 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amplify CWP, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amplify CWP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplify CWP Enhanced from the perspective of Amplify CWP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify CWP Enhanced on the next trading day is expected to be 45.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.79. Amplify CWP after-hype prediction price | USD 45.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify CWP to cross-verify your projections. Amplify CWP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplify CWP Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify CWP Enhanced on the next trading day is expected to be 45.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplify Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplify CWP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amplify CWP Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amplify CWP | Amplify CWP Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amplify CWP Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amplify CWP's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplify CWP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.99 and 46.27, respectively. We have considered Amplify CWP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplify CWP etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplify CWP etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.795 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0125 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2298 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0051 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.79 |
Predictive Modules for Amplify CWP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify CWP Enhanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amplify CWP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amplify CWP After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amplify CWP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amplify CWP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Amplify CWP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amplify CWP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amplify CWP's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amplify CWP's historical news coverage. Amplify CWP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.99 and 46.27, respectively. We have considered Amplify CWP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amplify CWP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amplify CWP Enhanced is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amplify CWP Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Amplify CWP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplify CWP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amplify CWP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
45.63 | 45.63 | 0.00 |
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Amplify CWP Hype Timeline
Amplify CWP Enhanced is currently traded for 45.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Amplify is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Amplify CWP is about 842.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.63. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify CWP to cross-verify your projections.Amplify CWP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amplify CWP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amplify CWP's future price movements. Getting to know how Amplify CWP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amplify CWP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPYI | SHP ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | (0.03) | 0.99 | (1.01) | 3.00 | |
| JPIE | JP Morgan Exchange Traded | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.74) | 0.13 | (0.09) | 0.28 | |
| DLN | WisdomTree LargeCap Dividend | 0.43 | 1 per month | 0.43 | (0.01) | 0.90 | (0.80) | 2.55 | |
| EFAV | iShares MSCI EAFE | 0.33 | 4 per month | 0.26 | 0.04 | 0.88 | (0.76) | 2.53 | |
| VSGX | Vanguard ESG International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.54 | 0.12 | 1.34 | (1.23) | 2.84 | |
| XMHQ | Invesco SP MidCap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.02 | 1.74 | (1.41) | 3.44 | |
| SHLD | Global X Defense | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.11 | 2.53 | (1.92) | 6.42 | |
| VTHR | Vanguard Russell 3000 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | (0.04) | 1.10 | (1.25) | 3.49 | |
| FELC | Fidelity Covington Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | (0.04) | 1.02 | (1.21) | 3.57 | |
| DSI | iShares MSCI KLD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | (0.04) | 1.12 | (1.53) | 3.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amplify CWP
For every potential investor in Amplify, whether a beginner or expert, Amplify CWP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplify Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplify CWP's price trends.Amplify CWP Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplify CWP etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplify CWP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplify CWP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amplify CWP Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplify CWP etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplify CWP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplify CWP etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplify CWP Enhanced entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4227.1 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.17) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 45.64 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 45.64 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
Amplify CWP Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amplify CWP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplify CWP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplify etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4985 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6674 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6392 | |||
| Variance | 0.4086 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5122 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4454 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.49) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amplify CWP
The number of cover stories for Amplify CWP depends on current market conditions and Amplify CWP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amplify CWP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amplify CWP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify CWP to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Understanding Amplify CWP Enhanced requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Amplify's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Amplify CWP's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Amplify CWP's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Amplify CWP's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Amplify CWP should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Amplify CWP's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.