Danske Invest Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DKIFJIX Stock | DKK 202.30 0.62 0.31% |
Danske Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Danske Invest's stock price is slightly above 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Danske, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Danske Invest hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Danske Invest Fjernosten from the perspective of Danske Invest response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Danske Invest Fjernosten on the next trading day is expected to be 202.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.06. Danske Invest after-hype prediction price | DKK 202.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Danske |
Danske Invest Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Danske price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Danske using various technical indicators. When you analyze Danske charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Danske Invest Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Danske Invest Fjernosten on the next trading day is expected to be 202.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.25, mean absolute percentage error of 2.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Danske Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Danske Invest's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Danske Invest Stock Forecast Pattern
Danske Invest Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Danske Invest's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Danske Invest's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 201.39 and 203.21, respectively. We have considered Danske Invest's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Danske Invest stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Danske Invest stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3664 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1303 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.251 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.06 |
Predictive Modules for Danske Invest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danske Invest Fjernosten. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Danske Invest Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Danske Invest at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Danske Invest or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Danske Invest, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Danske Invest Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Danske Invest is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Danske Invest backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Danske Invest, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
202.30 | 202.30 | 0.00 |
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Danske Invest Hype Timeline
Danske Invest Fjernosten is currently traded for 202.30on Copenhagen Exchange of Denmark. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Danske is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Danske Invest is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 202.30. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out fundamental analysis of Danske Invest to check your projections.Danske Invest Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Danske Invest's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Danske Invest's future price movements. Getting to know how Danske Invest's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Danske Invest may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NOVO-B | Novo Nordisk AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.44 | 0.04 | 6.11 | (4.02) | 13.26 | |
| NDA-DK | Nordea Bank Abp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.11 | 1.81 | (1.87) | 5.59 | |
| DSV | DSV Panalpina AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.23 | 2.58 | (2.34) | 6.98 | |
| MAERSK-B | AP Mller | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.94 | 0.11 | 3.41 | (3.36) | 13.00 | |
| MAERSK-A | AP Mller | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.86 | 0.11 | 2.76 | (3.28) | 12.53 | |
| ORSTED | Orsted AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.59 | 0.09 | 4.62 | (2.80) | 18.36 | |
| VWS | Vestas Wind Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.60 | 0.22 | 4.21 | (2.65) | 19.98 | |
| GMAB | Genmab AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.03 | 3.29 | (3.01) | 11.77 | |
| COLO-B | Coloplast AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.60 | (2.13) | 10.76 | |
| CARL-B | Carlsberg AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.07 | 2.05 | (1.61) | 5.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Danske Invest
For every potential investor in Danske, whether a beginner or expert, Danske Invest's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Danske Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Danske. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Danske Invest's price trends.Danske Invest Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Danske Invest stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Danske Invest could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Danske Invest by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Danske Invest Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Danske Invest stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Danske Invest shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Danske Invest stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Danske Invest Fjernosten entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Danske Invest Risk Indicators
The analysis of Danske Invest's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Danske Invest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting danske stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6586 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7398 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.897 | |||
| Variance | 0.8046 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8462 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5473 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Danske Invest
The number of cover stories for Danske Invest depends on current market conditions and Danske Invest's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Danske Invest is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Danske Invest's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Danske Stock Analysis
When running Danske Invest's price analysis, check to measure Danske Invest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Danske Invest is operating at the current time. Most of Danske Invest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Danske Invest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Danske Invest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Danske Invest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.