Danske Invest Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

DKIGLOVO  DKK 87.49  0.04  0.05%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Danske Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 87.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.00. Danske Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Danske Invest is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Danske Invest 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Danske Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 87.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Danske Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Danske Invest's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Danske Invest Stock Forecast Pattern

Danske Invest Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Danske Invest's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Danske Invest's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 87.31 and 87.61, respectively. We have considered Danske Invest's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
87.49
87.46
Expected Value
87.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Danske Invest stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Danske Invest stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.3178
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0534
MADMean absolute deviation0.1551
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0018
SAESum of the absolute errors8.9975
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Danske Invest. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Danske Invest and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Danske Invest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danske Invest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.3887.5387.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.0673.2196.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
87.0187.3487.68
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Danske Invest

For every potential investor in Danske, whether a beginner or expert, Danske Invest's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Danske Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Danske. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Danske Invest's price trends.

Danske Invest Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Danske Invest stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Danske Invest could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Danske Invest by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Danske Invest Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Danske Invest's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Danske Invest's current price.

Danske Invest Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Danske Invest stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Danske Invest shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Danske Invest stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Danske Invest entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Danske Invest Risk Indicators

The analysis of Danske Invest's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Danske Invest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting danske stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Danske Invest

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Danske Invest position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Danske Invest will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Danske Stock

  0.77DSV DSV Panalpina ASPairCorr

Moving against Danske Stock

  0.86GMAB Genmab ASPairCorr
  0.81NOVO-B Novo Nordisk ASPairCorr
  0.71VWS Vestas Wind SystemsPairCorr
  0.71ESG Ennogie Solar GroupPairCorr
  0.6CONFRZ Conferize ASPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Danske Invest could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Danske Invest when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Danske Invest - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Danske Invest to buy it.
The correlation of Danske Invest is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Danske Invest moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Danske Invest moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Danske Invest can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Danske Stock Analysis

When running Danske Invest's price analysis, check to measure Danske Invest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Danske Invest is operating at the current time. Most of Danske Invest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Danske Invest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Danske Invest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Danske Invest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.