Top Shelf Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

DKTS Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Top Shelf Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Top Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Top Shelf's Total Stockholder Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Other Liabilities is likely to gain to about 38 K in 2024, whereas Other Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 2.3 M in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Top Shelf's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
51.6 K
Current Value
49.1 K
Quarterly Volatility
52 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Top Shelf is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Top Shelf Brands value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Top Shelf Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Top Shelf Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Top Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Top Shelf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Top Shelf Stock Forecast Pattern

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Top Shelf Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Top Shelf's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Top Shelf's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Top Shelf's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Top Shelf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Top Shelf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Top Shelf Brands. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Top Shelf. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Top Shelf

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top Shelf Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Top Shelf's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Top Shelf

For every potential investor in Top, whether a beginner or expert, Top Shelf's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Top Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Top. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Top Shelf's price trends.

Top Shelf Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Top Shelf stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Top Shelf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Top Shelf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Top Shelf Brands Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Top Shelf's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Top Shelf's current price.

Top Shelf Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Top Shelf stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Top Shelf shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Top Shelf stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Top Shelf Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Top Stock Analysis

When running Top Shelf's price analysis, check to measure Top Shelf's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Top Shelf is operating at the current time. Most of Top Shelf's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Top Shelf's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Top Shelf's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Top Shelf to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.