Delta Apparel Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DLAPQ Stock | 0.0001 0.00 0.000003% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Delta Apparel on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Delta Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Delta Apparel's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Delta Apparel's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Delta Apparel fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Delta Apparel's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) |
Using Delta Apparel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Delta Apparel from the perspective of Delta Apparel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Delta Apparel on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Delta Apparel after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delta Apparel to cross-verify your projections. Delta Apparel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Delta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Delta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Delta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Delta Apparel Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Delta Apparel on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Delta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Delta Apparel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Delta Apparel Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Delta Apparel | Delta Apparel Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Delta Apparel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Delta Apparel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Delta Apparel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Delta Apparel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Delta Apparel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Delta Apparel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 59.1135 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Delta Apparel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delta Apparel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Delta Apparel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Delta Apparel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Delta Apparel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Delta Apparel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Delta Apparel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Delta Apparel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Delta Apparel's historical news coverage. Delta Apparel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Delta Apparel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Delta Apparel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Delta Apparel is based on 3 months time horizon.
Delta Apparel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Delta Apparel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delta Apparel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Delta Apparel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Delta Apparel Hype Timeline
Delta Apparel is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Delta is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Delta Apparel is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 9.62. Delta Apparel last dividend was issued on the 27th of August 2007. The entity had 2:1 split on the 1st of June 2005. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delta Apparel to cross-verify your projections.Delta Apparel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Delta Apparel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Delta Apparel's future price movements. Getting to know how Delta Apparel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Delta Apparel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TNPOF | Ten Pao Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SLOFF | Solstad Offshore ASA | (0.27) | 21 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.77 | |
| SAFS | Safer Shot | (0.27) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NORSF | Norsk Titanium AS | (0.27) | 19 per month | 6.23 | 0.03 | 16.67 | (15.38) | 63.03 | |
| NRSAF | Norse Atlantic ASA | (0.27) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.70 | (7.06) | 36.87 | |
| ADFJF | ADF Group | (0.27) | 9 per month | 2.07 | 0.04 | 4.37 | (3.98) | 18.32 | |
| DIALF | Dialight plc | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.20 | |
| LQMT | Liquidmetal Technologies | 4.08 | 23 per month | 5.08 | (0) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 24.36 | |
| AMROF | Amaero International | (0.27) | 6 per month | 6.72 | 0.09 | 18.75 | (11.76) | 63.81 | |
| JNSTF | Jinhui Shipping and | (0.27) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Delta Apparel
For every potential investor in Delta, whether a beginner or expert, Delta Apparel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Delta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Delta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Delta Apparel's price trends.Delta Apparel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Delta Apparel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Delta Apparel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Delta Apparel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Delta Apparel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Delta Apparel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Delta Apparel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Delta Apparel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Delta Apparel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Delta Apparel
The number of cover stories for Delta Apparel depends on current market conditions and Delta Apparel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Delta Apparel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Delta Apparel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Delta Stock Analysis
When running Delta Apparel's price analysis, check to measure Delta Apparel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delta Apparel is operating at the current time. Most of Delta Apparel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delta Apparel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delta Apparel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delta Apparel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.