Doubleline Long Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DLLDX Fund | USD 6.31 0.02 0.32% |
Doubleline Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Doubleline Long's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Doubleline Long, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Doubleline Long hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Doubleline Long Duration from the perspective of Doubleline Long response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Doubleline Long Duration on the next trading day is expected to be 6.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.41. Doubleline Long after-hype prediction price | USD 6.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Doubleline |
Doubleline Long Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Doubleline price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Doubleline using various technical indicators. When you analyze Doubleline charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Doubleline Long Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Doubleline Long Duration on the next trading day is expected to be 6.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Doubleline Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Doubleline Long's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Doubleline Long Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Doubleline Long | Doubleline Long Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Doubleline Long Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Doubleline Long's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Doubleline Long's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.84 and 6.78, respectively. We have considered Doubleline Long's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Doubleline Long mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Doubleline Long mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.2351 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0018 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0235 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.41 |
Predictive Modules for Doubleline Long
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Doubleline Long Duration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Doubleline Long's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Doubleline Long After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Doubleline Long at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Doubleline Long or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Doubleline Long, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Doubleline Long Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Doubleline Long's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Doubleline Long's historical news coverage. Doubleline Long's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.84 and 6.78, respectively. We have considered Doubleline Long's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Doubleline Long is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Doubleline Long Duration is based on 3 months time horizon.
Doubleline Long Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Doubleline Long is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Doubleline Long backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Doubleline Long, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.31 | 6.31 | 0.00 |
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Doubleline Long Hype Timeline
Doubleline Long Duration is currently traded for 6.31. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Doubleline is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Doubleline Long is about 218.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.32. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Doubleline Long to cross-verify your projections.Doubleline Long Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Doubleline Long's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Doubleline Long's future price movements. Getting to know how Doubleline Long's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Doubleline Long may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DEBTX | Shelton Tactical Credit | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.11 | (0.30) | 0.39 | (0.30) | 0.88 | |
| TGWNX | Tcw Emerging Markets | 2.31 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.39 | (0.39) | 1.16 | |
| EAAAX | Enterprise Mergers And | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.16 | 0.08 | 1.05 | (0.72) | 2.40 | |
| THPMX | Thompson Midcap Fund | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.61 | 0.10 | 1.65 | (1.40) | 4.29 | |
| IPSAX | Ips Strategic Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.46 | (0.08) | 0.70 | (0.90) | 4.16 | |
| HDSVX | Hodges Small Intrinsic | 0.20 | 1 per month | 1.04 | 0.02 | 2.37 | (1.86) | 4.70 | |
| AGLOX | Ariel Global Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1.35 | (1.03) | 17.42 | |
| AUERX | Auer Growth Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.41 | 0.16 | 1.77 | (1.39) | 12.63 | |
| IIXIX | Catalyst Insider Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.48) | 0.33 | (0.11) | 0.55 | |
| VICEX | Usa Mutuals Vice | (0.40) | 6 per month | 0.37 | 0.12 | 1.49 | (1.25) | 14.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for Doubleline Long
For every potential investor in Doubleline, whether a beginner or expert, Doubleline Long's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Doubleline Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Doubleline. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Doubleline Long's price trends.Doubleline Long Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Doubleline Long mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Doubleline Long could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Doubleline Long by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Doubleline Long Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Doubleline Long mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Doubleline Long shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Doubleline Long mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Doubleline Long Duration entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.43 |
Doubleline Long Risk Indicators
The analysis of Doubleline Long's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Doubleline Long's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting doubleline mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3663 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4633 | |||
| Variance | 0.2147 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Doubleline Long
The number of cover stories for Doubleline Long depends on current market conditions and Doubleline Long's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Doubleline Long is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Doubleline Long's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Doubleline Mutual Fund
Doubleline Long financial ratios help investors to determine whether Doubleline Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Doubleline with respect to the benefits of owning Doubleline Long security.
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