Derwent London Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| DLN Stock | EUR 38.86 0.10 0.26% |
Derwent Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Derwent London's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Derwent London's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Derwent London, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.088 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 |
Using Derwent London hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Derwent London PLC from the perspective of Derwent London response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Derwent London PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 38.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.21. Derwent London after-hype prediction price | EUR 38.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Derwent |
Derwent London Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Derwent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Derwent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Derwent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Derwent London Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Derwent London PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 38.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Derwent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Derwent London's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Derwent London Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Derwent London | Derwent London Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Derwent London Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Derwent London's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Derwent London's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.29 and 39.46, respectively. We have considered Derwent London's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Derwent London stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Derwent London stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8835 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4461 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.2136 |
Predictive Modules for Derwent London
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Derwent London PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Derwent London After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Derwent London at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Derwent London or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Derwent London, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Derwent London Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Derwent London's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Derwent London's historical news coverage. Derwent London's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.75 and 39.91, respectively. We have considered Derwent London's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Derwent London is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Derwent London PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Derwent London Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Derwent London is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Derwent London backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Derwent London, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.09 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 5 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
38.86 | 38.83 | 0.08 |
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Derwent London Hype Timeline
Derwent London PLC is currently traded for 38.86on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Derwent is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.83. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Derwent London is about 2725.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.87. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Derwent London was currently reported as 13.73. The company last dividend was issued on the 22nd of September 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Derwent London to cross-verify your projections.Derwent London Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Derwent London's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Derwent London's future price movements. Getting to know how Derwent London's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Derwent London may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| T1A | Treasure ASA | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.55 | 0.03 | 1.05 | (1.19) | 13.61 | |
| BOZA | PT Bank Maybank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.89 | 0 | 5.00 | (5.00) | 18.90 | |
| MO7R | MOOG INC CL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.06 | 0.15 | 8.85 | (5.02) | 32.41 | |
| BIO | Biotest Aktiengesellschaft | (0.20) | 3 per month | 1.56 | (0.03) | 4.57 | (3.83) | 14.29 | |
| UN0 | Uniper SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.24 | 0.11 | 4.48 | (3.88) | 12.69 | |
| UN0 | Uniper SE | 0.45 | 2 per month | 2.33 | 0.10 | 5.88 | (3.96) | 13.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Derwent London
For every potential investor in Derwent, whether a beginner or expert, Derwent London's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Derwent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Derwent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Derwent London's price trends.Derwent London Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Derwent London stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Derwent London could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Derwent London by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Derwent London Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Derwent London stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Derwent London shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Derwent London stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Derwent London PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Derwent London Risk Indicators
The analysis of Derwent London's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Derwent London's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting derwent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9039 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9189 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8443 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.99) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Derwent London
The number of cover stories for Derwent London depends on current market conditions and Derwent London's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Derwent London is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Derwent London's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Derwent Stock
Derwent London financial ratios help investors to determine whether Derwent Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Derwent with respect to the benefits of owning Derwent London security.