Dorchester Minerals Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

DMLP Stock  USD 33.74  0.24  0.72%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dorchester Minerals LP on the next trading day is expected to be 33.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.42. Dorchester Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Dorchester Minerals' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Dorchester Minerals' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Dorchester Minerals fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Dorchester Minerals' Payables Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 7.25, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop (2.65). . As of 11/22/2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 163.1 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 32.3 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Dorchester Minerals price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Dorchester Minerals Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Dorchester Minerals LP on the next trading day is expected to be 33.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dorchester Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dorchester Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dorchester Minerals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dorchester Minerals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dorchester Minerals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dorchester Minerals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.36 and 34.90, respectively. We have considered Dorchester Minerals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.74
33.63
Expected Value
34.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dorchester Minerals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dorchester Minerals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9754
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4331
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0143
SAESum of the absolute errors26.4216
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Dorchester Minerals LP historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Dorchester Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dorchester Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.2333.5034.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.1535.4036.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
30.9532.5534.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dorchester Minerals

For every potential investor in Dorchester, whether a beginner or expert, Dorchester Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dorchester Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dorchester. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dorchester Minerals' price trends.

Dorchester Minerals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dorchester Minerals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dorchester Minerals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dorchester Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dorchester Minerals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dorchester Minerals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dorchester Minerals' current price.

Dorchester Minerals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dorchester Minerals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dorchester Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dorchester Minerals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dorchester Minerals LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dorchester Minerals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dorchester Minerals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dorchester Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dorchester stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Additional Tools for Dorchester Stock Analysis

When running Dorchester Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Dorchester Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dorchester Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Dorchester Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dorchester Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dorchester Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dorchester Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.