Dermapharm Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

DMPHF Stock   39.56  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dermapharm Holding SE on the next trading day is expected to be 39.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Dermapharm Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dermapharm Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Dermapharm Holding is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Dermapharm Holding Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dermapharm Holding SE on the next trading day is expected to be 39.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dermapharm Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dermapharm Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dermapharm Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Dermapharm Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dermapharm Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dermapharm Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.56 and 39.56, respectively. We have considered Dermapharm Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.56
39.56
Expected Value
39.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dermapharm Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dermapharm Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Dermapharm Holding SE price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Dermapharm Holding. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Dermapharm Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dermapharm Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.5639.5639.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.5639.5639.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
39.5639.5639.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dermapharm Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dermapharm Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dermapharm Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dermapharm Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for Dermapharm Holding

For every potential investor in Dermapharm, whether a beginner or expert, Dermapharm Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dermapharm Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dermapharm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dermapharm Holding's price trends.

Dermapharm Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dermapharm Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dermapharm Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dermapharm Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dermapharm Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dermapharm Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dermapharm Holding's current price.

Dermapharm Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dermapharm Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dermapharm Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dermapharm Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Dermapharm Holding SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Dermapharm Pink Sheet

Dermapharm Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dermapharm Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dermapharm with respect to the benefits of owning Dermapharm Holding security.