Dun Bradstreet Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DNBDelisted Stock | USD 9.15 0.01 0.11% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dun Bradstreet Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.51. Dun Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dun Bradstreet stock prices and determine the direction of Dun Bradstreet Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dun Bradstreet's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Dun Bradstreet's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Dun Bradstreet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dun Bradstreet Holdings from the perspective of Dun Bradstreet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dun Bradstreet Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.51. Dun Bradstreet after-hype prediction price | USD 9.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Dun |
Dun Bradstreet Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dun Bradstreet Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dun Bradstreet Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dun Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dun Bradstreet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dun Bradstreet Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dun Bradstreet | Dun Bradstreet Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dun Bradstreet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dun Bradstreet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.5153 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0027 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0085 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.51 |
Predictive Modules for Dun Bradstreet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dun Bradstreet Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dun Bradstreet After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dun Bradstreet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dun Bradstreet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dun Bradstreet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dun Bradstreet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dun Bradstreet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dun Bradstreet's historical news coverage. Dun Bradstreet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.15 and 9.15, respectively. We have considered Dun Bradstreet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dun Bradstreet is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dun Bradstreet Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dun Bradstreet Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dun Bradstreet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dun Bradstreet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dun Bradstreet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.15 | 9.15 | 0.00 |
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Dun Bradstreet Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Dun Bradstreet Holdings is traded for 9.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dun is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dun Bradstreet is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.15. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dun Bradstreet Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.86. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.09. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of March 2025. Dun Bradstreet had 2:1 split on the 3rd of October 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.Dun Bradstreet Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dun Bradstreet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dun Bradstreet's future price movements. Getting to know how Dun Bradstreet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dun Bradstreet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| THCB | Tuscan Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GRNV | GreenVision Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UMPQ | Umpqua Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FLG | Flagstar Financial | (0.14) | 9 per month | 1.24 | 0.09 | 4.62 | (2.07) | 8.76 | |
| ATCO | Atlas Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | 0.68 | 9 per month | 0.93 | 0.15 | 3.33 | (1.58) | 8.77 | |
| AEL | American Equity Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PAYO | Payoneer Global | (0.20) | 7 per month | 2.01 | (0.02) | 2.97 | (3.66) | 9.39 | |
| AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares | 0.11 | 38 per month | 1.11 | 0.09 | 3.79 | (1.90) | 7.22 |
Dun Bradstreet Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dun Bradstreet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dun Bradstreet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dun Bradstreet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dun Bradstreet Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dun Bradstreet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dun Bradstreet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dun Bradstreet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dun Bradstreet Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Dun Bradstreet Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dun Bradstreet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dun Bradstreet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dun stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0963 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1358 | |||
| Variance | 0.0184 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0261 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.02) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dun Bradstreet
The number of cover stories for Dun Bradstreet depends on current market conditions and Dun Bradstreet's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dun Bradstreet is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dun Bradstreet's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dun Bradstreet Short Properties
Dun Bradstreet's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dun Bradstreet's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dun Bradstreet Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dun Bradstreet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dun Bradstreet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 432.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 205.9 M |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Other Consideration for investing in Dun Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Dun Bradstreet Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Dun Bradstreet's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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